Sport Picks

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Kimberley vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal 2025 Estadio Jose Antonio Valle, Mar del Plata
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Vazquez A.
59'
Sub
Gallegos E. In: Prost M.
Out: Gallegos E.
61'
Sub
Cerica E. In: Rios R.
Out: Cerica E.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Torneo Federal 2025 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Kimberley
20%
Draws
38%
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kimberley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Kimberley haven't matched Olimpo Bahia Blanca's recent run of results.
  • Kimberley are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Olimpo Bahia Blanca arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Olimpo Bahia Blanca, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Kimberley Clean Sheet 20%
Olimpo Bahia Blanca Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kimberley Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 13 11
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 0.88 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Torneo Federal
Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Kimberley
0:0
Apr 18, 2026 Torneo Federal
Kimberley vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca
0:1
Nov 2, 2025 Torneo Federal
Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Kimberley
3:1
Oct 20, 2025 Torneo Federal
Kimberley vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca
1:1
Jul 25, 2025 Torneo Federal
Kimberley vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kimberley Compare

Top Goalscorer Vazquez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Olimpo Bahia Blanca Compare

Top Goalscorer Murialdo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kimberley 42 / 100
Olimpo Bahia Blanca 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kimberley Olimpo Bahia Blanca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Kimberley remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Attacking prowess: Kimberley scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Olimpo Bahia Blanca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 34% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kimberley VS Olimpo Bahia Blanca
0.88 Goals Scored 0.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
25% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kimberley

(Home)
24 Jul
Kimberley
1 : 1
Circulo Deportivo
05 Jul
Sol de Mayo
1 : 2
Kimberley
28 Jun
Kimberley
3 : 0
Guillermo Brown
20 Jun
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
0 : 0
Kimberley
14 Jun
Kimberley
2 : 2
Alvarado
Page 1 of 6

Olimpo Bahia Blanca

(Away)
26 Jul
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
2 : 0
Santamarina
12 Jul
Germinal
0 : 1
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
05 Jul
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
0 : 0
Villa Mitre
28 Jun
Circulo Deportivo
1 : 1
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
20 Jun
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
0 : 0
Kimberley
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Atl. Rafaela-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Villa Mitre2
Guillermo Brown4
TBD-
Sportivo Belgrano-
Cipolletti0
Kimberley1
Olimpo Bahia Blanca2
Juventud U.U.0
Independiente Chivilcoy3
Douglas Haig4
Argentino MM-
TBD-
Juventud Antoniana3
Boca Unidos2
Gimnasia Chivilcoy3
El Linqueno2
9 de Julio Rafaela6
Germinal1
Deportivo Rincon5
Sportivo Las Parejas2
Costa Brava1
Bartolome Mitre1
San Martin Formosa2
Sol de Mayo2
Biblioteca Atenas5
Sarmiento Resistencia0
Sarmiento de La Banda1
San Martin Mendoza1
1/8-finals
Atl. Rafaela-
TBD-
Guillermo Brown2
Sportivo Belgrano1
Kimberley2
Olimpo Bahia Blanca4
Douglas Haig3
Argentino MM1
Juventud Antoniana1
Gimnasia Chivilcoy2
9 de Julio Rafaela2
Deportivo Rincon1
Costa Brava2
San Martin Formosa3
Biblioteca Atenas2
Sarmiento de La Banda0
Quarter-finals
Atl. Rafaela3
Guillermo Brown1
Olimpo Bahia Blanca0
Douglas Haig6
Gimnasia Chivilcoy1
9 de Julio Rafaela3
San Martin Formosa4
Biblioteca Atenas1
Semi-finals
Atl. Rafaela4
Douglas Haig2
9 de Julio Rafaela3
San Martin Formosa5
Final
Atl. Rafaela2
San Martin Formosa0