Sport Picks
Kinondoni MC vs Coastal Union Prediction & H2H Stats
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 KMC Stadium, Dar es Salaam 
Match Events
3'
3'
Mashaka R.
8'
8'
Gwalala G.
Assist: Mashaka R.
12'
12'
Mosha N. J.
AI Match Summary
Coastal Union in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Coastal Union.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Coastal Union
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Coastal Union have won more games recently than Kinondoni MC.
- Coastal Union are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Kinondoni MC Clean Sheet 13%
Coastal Union Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kinondoni MC | Coastal Union |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 2 | 11 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 25 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.53 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.65 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 15, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Kinondoni MC vs Coastal Union
1:3
Jan 27, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Kinondoni MC
1:1
Dec 29, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Kinondoni MC
1:1
Aug 29, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Kinondoni MC vs Coastal Union
1:1
May 28, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Kinondoni MC
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kinondoni MC Compare
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Coastal Union Compare
Top Goalscorer Mashaka R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gwalala G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.5
Avg xA / game 0.92
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kinondoni MC 14 / 100
Coastal Union 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kinondoni MC Coastal Union
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Coastal Union Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Coastal Union conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Kinondoni MC found the back of the net in 37% of recent matches (30 games).
Coastal Union's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Kinondoni MC VS Coastal Union
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.17 Goals Conceded 1.5
67% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Kinondoni MC
(Home) 30 Jun
Simba
1 : 0 Kinondoni MC
27 Jun
Mashujaa
2 : 0 Kinondoni MC
24 Jun
Kinondoni MC
2 : 3 Namungo
15 Jun
Kinondoni MC
1 : 3 Coastal Union
12 Jun
Kinondoni MC
0 : 1 TRA United
Page 1 of 6
24 Jun
Kinondoni MC
2 : 3 Namungo
15 Jun
Kinondoni MC
1 : 3 Coastal Union
12 Jun
Kinondoni MC
0 : 1 TRA United
20 May
Kinondoni MC
0 : 1 Pamba
10 May
Kinondoni MC
2 : 3 Fountain Gate
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Coastal Union
(Away) 12 Sept
Coastal Union
2 : 1 JKT Tanzania
06 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 2 Coastal Union
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0 Coastal Union
24 Aug
Coastal Union
1 : 1 TRA United
20 Aug
Young Africans
4 : 1 Coastal Union
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 2 Coastal Union
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0 Coastal Union
20 Aug
Young Africans
4 : 1 Coastal Union
24 Jun
TRA United
1 : 1 Coastal Union
20 Jun
Simba
4 : 0 Coastal Union
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 71:9 | 75 |
| 2 | Simba | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 54:11 | 73 |
| 3 | Azam | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 46:12 | 64 |
| 4 | Singida Black Stars | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 47:35 | 50 |
| 5 | TRA United | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 33:28 | 43 |
| 6 | JKT Tanzania | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 30:33 | 42 |
| 7 | Pamba | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 32:35 | 36 |
| 8 | Coastal Union | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:37 | 36 |
| 9 | Dodoma Jiji | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 25:36 | 35 |
| 10 | Namungo | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 25:32 | 34 |
| 11 | Mashujaa | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 15:27 | 33 |
| 12 | Fountain Gate | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 25:44 | 33 |
| 13 | Tanzania Prisons | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 23:41 | 32 |
| 14 | Mbeya City | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 24:41 | 30 |
| 15 | Mtibwa Sugar | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 25:48 | 27 |
| 16 | Kinondoni MC | 30 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 16:53 | 9 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)
