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Kitchee vs Eastern AA

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Premier League 2025/2026 Mong Kok Stadium, Hongkong
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Match Events

7' Event
Mingazov R.
24' Event
Okubo Y.
25' Event
Mingazov R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Kitchee
6%
Draws
90%
Eastern AA
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Eastern AA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kitchee lately — more wins on the board than Eastern AA.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Eastern AA taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Kitchee Clean Sheet 16%
Eastern AA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kitchee Eastern AA
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 19 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 2.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Premier League
Kitchee vs Eastern AA
4:4
Mar 21, 2026 Premier League
Kitchee vs Eastern AA
2:1
Aug 29, 2025 Premier League
Eastern AA vs Kitchee
0:1
May 25, 2025 Premier League
Eastern AA vs Kitchee
1:1
Mar 22, 2025 Sapling Cup
Eastern AA vs Kitchee
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kitchee Compare

Top Goalscorer Mingazov R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Merquelanz M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Eastern AA Compare

Top Goalscorer Okubo Y.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Gondra M. K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kitchee 10 / 100
Eastern AA 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kitchee Eastern AA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kitchee's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Eastern AA has conceded goals in 82% of their last 33 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Kitchee has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kitchee VS Eastern AA
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kitchee

(Home)
17 May
Kitchee
4 : 4
Eastern AA
02 May
Tai Po
3 : 0
Kitchee
25 Apr
North District
2 : 2
Kitchee
18 Apr
Kitchee
1 : 4
Lee Man Warriors
12 Apr
Kitchee
2 : 0
Hong Kong Rangers
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Eastern AA

(Away)
17 May
Kitchee
4 : 4
Eastern AA
09 May
Eastern AA
2 : 4
Tai Po
01 May
Eastern AA
3 : 1
North District
26 Apr
Lee Man Warriors
0 : 1
Eastern AA
11 Apr
Eastern AA
5 : 0
Hong Kong FC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kitchee22164254:2852
2Tai Po22134549:3243
3Lee Man Warriors22126457:2642
4Eastern AA2295839:3732
5North District2288643:3932
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