Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kivioli Irbis vs FC Lootos Polva

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2013/2014
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Verst A.
30' Event
Kirilov D.
35' Event
Kopli J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 7-1, with Kivioli Irbis advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Kivioli Irbis
6%
Draws
4%
FC Lootos Polva
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kivioli Irbis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kivioli Irbis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Kivioli Irbis taking it.
  • Kivioli Irbis have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kivioli Irbis, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Kivioli Irbis Clean Sheet 20%
FC Lootos Polva Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kivioli Irbis FC Lootos Polva
Matches Played 31 21
Wins 14 10
Draws 4 0
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.63 0.2
Goals Conceded 2.13 6.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.20
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 6.80

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2013 Estonian Cup
Kivioli Irbis vs FC Lootos Polva
7:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kivioli Irbis Compare

Top Goalscorer Ametov I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sabanov V.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

FC Lootos Polva Compare

Top Goalscorer Kopli J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.18
Avg xA / game 0.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kivioli Irbis 85 / 100
FC Lootos Polva 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kivioli Irbis FC Lootos Polva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KIV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kivioli Irbis scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: FC Lootos Polva conceded in 100% of 21 recent games.

H2H data points to 8.00 goals as a typical output.

FC Lootos Polva's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kivioli Irbis VS FC Lootos Polva
1.63 Goals Scored 0.2
2.13 Goals Conceded 6.8
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 80%
63% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Kivioli Irbis

(Home)
03 Aug
Marjamaa
:
Kivioli Irbis
08 Nov
Kivioli Irbis
1 : 0
Tallinna Kalev
01 Nov
Kivioli Irbis
3 : 0
Rakvere
25 Oct
Flora Tallinn U21
3 : 1
Kivioli Irbis
18 Oct
Kivioli Irbis
1 : 4
FCI Tallinn II
Page 1 of 7

FC Lootos Polva

(Away)
12 Jun
FC Hell Hunt
2 : 0
FC Lootos Polva
31 Jul
FC Lootos Polva
0 : 3
Tallinna Starmedia
29 Jul
Rumori Calcio II
3 : 0
FC Lootos Polva
17 Jun
Kuressaare
22 : 0
FC Lootos Polva
21 Jun
Kadrina SK Moe
4 : 1
FC Lootos Polva
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
FCI Tallinn9
Castovanni Eagles0
Rakvere3
Tallinna Kalev5
Viimsi MRJK-
TBD-
Rada Kuusalu1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve3
SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS-
TBD-
TBD-
Smuuli-
Igiliikur1
FC KIIU0
TBD-
FC Tartu-
Tartu JK Welco-
TBD-
TBD-
SK Taaksi-
Trummi7
Helios4
Pokkeriprod1
FC Ararat6
Jarva-Jaani-
TBD-
Pirita-
Merkuur Tartu-
Lasnamae5
Saku Sporting0
TBD-
Puuma-
Tammeka Tartu II4
Soccernet0
Tallinna Kalev III0
Elva1
Ambla5
Loo JK3
Rakvere Wiswald0
FCI Tallinn II7
Vaatsa Vald-
TBD-
TBD-
JK Jalgpallihaigla-
IAFA Estonia-
TBD-
Tartu Harrastajad0
Saue JK Laagri9
Flora18
Reaal0
Tallinna Dnipro0
Sillamae Kalev11
Imavere Forss4
Tapa1
Olympic Tallinn0
Tulevik4
Kalju14
Puhajarve Revali0
TBD-
Kohtla-Nomme-
Lihula JK7
Lelle1
Voru0
Levadia11
Viimsi JK4
Kaitseliit0
Jogeva1
Ulikool Tallinn2
Maardu Linnameeskond3
Metropool Parnu1
TBD-
Tammeka Tartu-
Legion-
Kose JK-
Ganvix Turi0
Eston Villa1
Navi Vutiselts5
Kaitseliit II1
Torva JK1
Tartu SK 106
Parnu Linnameeskond3
Kalju III1
TBD-
FC Balteco-
Tartu Ulikool-
Taebla-
Dinamo Tallinn1
Otepaa2
Nomme Utd1
SK EPMU Tartu0
TBD-
Haiba-
Shnelli3
Raudteetoolised2
Parnu-Jaagupi-
Johvi Phoenix-
Kuressaare3
Kadakas0
Roosad Pantrid1
JK Poseidon8
Oismae Torm4
Eesti Vaitlusselts0
Valga Warrior1
Tallinn Piraaja3
Tartu SK 10 II4
Maccabi2
TBD-
Toompea-
Rummu Dunamo2
Tallinna Kalev II0
Twister Tallinn0
Paide Linnameeskond5
Kivioli Irbis4
Kose1
Leisi2
FC Lootos Polva5
Rapla6
Donkers0
Kalju II0
Raasiku Joker1
Narva11
Retro1
TBD-
Flora Tallinn U21-
Tartu Tehased3
Eestimaa Kasakad2
Vandra Vaprus1
Santos Tartu3
1/32-finals
FCI Tallinn2
Tallinna Kalev1
Viimsi MRJK0
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve5
SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS5
Smuuli1
Igiliikur0
FC Tartu4
Tartu JK Welco5
SK Taaksi2
Trummi1
FC Ararat2
Jarva-Jaani2
Merkuur Tartu0
Lasnamae1
Puuma5
Tammeka Tartu II2
Elva1
Ambla1
FCI Tallinn II8
Vaatsa Vald2
JK Jalgpallihaigla1
IAFA Estonia1
Saue JK Laagri2
Flora1
Sillamae Kalev0
Imavere Forss0
Tulevik1
Kalju14
Kohtla-Nomme0
Lihula JK0
Levadia8
Viimsi JK1
Ulikool Tallinn0
Maardu Linnameeskond1
Tammeka Tartu5
Legion8
Eston Villa0
Navi Vutiselts0
Tartu SK 107
Parnu Linnameeskond7
FC Balteco1
Tartu Ulikool0
Otepaa3
Nomme Utd7
Haiba1
Shnelli0
Johvi Phoenix13
Kuressaare6
JK Poseidon1
Oismae Torm0
Tallinn Piraaja6
Tartu SK 10 II-
Toompea-
Rummu Dunamo2
Paide Linnameeskond5
Kivioli Irbis7
FC Lootos Polva1
Rapla0
Raasiku Joker9
Narva4
Flora Tallinn U212
Tartu Tehased0
Santos Tartu8
1/16-finals
FCI Tallinn6
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve0
SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS1
FC Tartu2
Tartu JK Welco2
FC Ararat1
Jarva-Jaani1
Puuma8
Tammeka Tartu II2
FCI Tallinn II1
Vaatsa Vald0
Saue JK Laagri4
Flora2
Tulevik1
Kalju1
Levadia3
Viimsi JK3
Tammeka Tartu1
Legion1
Tartu SK 102
Parnu Linnameeskond4
Otepaa1
Nomme Utd2
Johvi Phoenix6
Kuressaare1
Tallinn Piraaja0
Tartu SK 10 II1
Paide Linnameeskond6
Kivioli Irbis5
Raasiku Joker1
Narva0
Santos Tartu1
1/8-finals
FCI Tallinn6
FC Tartu1
Tartu JK Welco3
Puuma4
Tammeka Tartu II6
Saue JK Laagri0
Flora0
Levadia2
Viimsi JK1
Tartu SK 100
Parnu Linnameeskond0
Johvi Phoenix1
Kuressaare1
Paide Linnameeskond0
Kivioli Irbis0
Santos Tartu11
Quarter-finals
FCI Tallinn2
Puuma0
Tammeka Tartu II-
Levadia-
Viimsi JK1
Johvi Phoenix0
Kuressaare1
Santos Tartu3
Semi-finals
FCI Tallinn0
Levadia1
Viimsi JK1
Santos Tartu3
Final
Levadia4
Santos Tartu0