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Kiwi vs Magenta

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2016
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Aucher M.
45'
Lewis B.
60'
Sub
Wajoka P. In: Makalu L.
Out: Wajoka P.

AI Match Summary

The OFC Champions League 2016 game between Kiwi and Magenta finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Magenta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Kiwi
15%
Draws
46%
Magenta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Magenta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Kiwi haven't matched Magenta's recent run of results.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Magenta taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Kiwi Clean Sheet 10%
Magenta Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kiwi Magenta
Matches Played 21 29
Wins 9 16
Draws 0 4
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 2.48 2.38
Goals Conceded 3.38 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2016 OFC Champions League
Kiwi vs Magenta
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kiwi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Magenta Compare

Top Goalscorer Aucher M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nicholls P. B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kiwi 10 / 100
Magenta 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kiwi Magenta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Magenta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:5
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kiwi's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 21 recent games.

Defensive concern: Magenta conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Kiwi went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kiwi VS Magenta
2.5 Goals Scored 3.38
5.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kiwi

(Home)
01 Mar
Ba
5 : 1
Kiwi
26 Feb
Kiwi
0 : 13
Team Wellington
23 Feb
Kiwi
0 : 2
Erakor Golden Star
02 Feb
Lotohaapai
1 : 9
Kiwi
30 Jan
Kiwi
4 : 3
Pago Youth
Page 1 of 5

Magenta

(Away)
15 Nov
Magenta
0 : 3
Mulhouse
23 May
Auckland City
1 : 0
Magenta
21 May
Ifira Blackbird
1 : 2
Magenta
19 May
Magenta
0 : 0
Pirae
16 May
Magenta
8 : 0
Vaivase-Tai
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 Amicale 3 2 0 1 7:3 6
3 Solomon Warriors 3 1 0 2 5:11 3
4 Lae City 3 0 0 3 5:10 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2016 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Team Wellington 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
2 PNG Hekari 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
3 Suva 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Lossi 3 0 0 3 3:10 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2016 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Magenta 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 Tefana 3 2 0 1 15:5 6
3 Nadi 3 1 0 2 5:12 3
4 Kiwi 3 0 0 3 3:13 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2016 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams