Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KKS Kalisz vs Stal Stalowa Wola

Poland Poland

Division 2 2025/2026 Stadion Miejski, Kalisz
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Putno B.
27'
Hrnciar L.
36'
Jelen J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
KKS Kalisz
11%
Draws
80%
Stal Stalowa Wola
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Stal Stalowa Wola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Stal Stalowa Wola lately — more wins on the board than KKS Kalisz.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Stal Stalowa Wola taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
KKS Kalisz Clean Sheet 10%
Stal Stalowa Wola Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KKS Kalisz Stal Stalowa Wola
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 5 8
Draws 9 13
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 0.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.25 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Division 2
KKS Kalisz vs Stal Stalowa Wola
1:1
Aug 9, 2025 Division 2
Stal Stalowa Wola vs KKS Kalisz
1:0
Jun 1, 2024 Division 2
KKS Kalisz vs Stal Stalowa Wola
1:2
Mar 17, 2024 Division 2
Stal Stalowa Wola vs KKS Kalisz
0:1
Sep 2, 2023 Division 2
KKS Kalisz vs Stal Stalowa Wola
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KKS Kalisz Compare

Top Goalscorer Flak J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Stal Stalowa Wola Compare

Top Goalscorer Hrnciar L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KKS Kalisz 10 / 100
Stal Stalowa Wola 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KKS Kalisz Stal Stalowa Wola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KKS Kalisz's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Stal Stalowa Wola conceded in 63% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: KKS Kalisz remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

KKS Kalisz VS Stal Stalowa Wola
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

KKS Kalisz

(Home)
25 Jul
KKS Kalisz
2 : 2
Lech Poznan II
18 Jul
Unia Skierniewice
4 : 0
KKS Kalisz
11 Jul
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
3 : 0
KKS Kalisz
08 Jul
KKS Kalisz
2 : 2
Zaglebie II
30 May
KKS Kalisz
2 : 1
Unia Skierniewice
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Stal Stalowa Wola

(Away)
25 Jul
Legia II
0 : 2
Stal Stalowa Wola
18 Jul
Stal Stalowa Wola
2 : 1
Widzew Lodz II
11 Jul
Stal Stalowa Wola
2 : 2
Avia Swidnik
30 May
Hutnik Krakow
0 : 1
Stal Stalowa Wola
23 May
Stal Stalowa Wola
3 : 0
GKS Jastrzebie
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Unia Skierniewice34215869:4568
2Warta Poznan341713457:3764
3Ol. Grudziadz341810669:4264
4Podbeskidzie341771064:4358
5Slask Wroclaw II341671165:4955
6Sandecja Nowy S.341413754:4055
7Podhale Nowy Targ341314746:3553
8Chojniczanka3414101058:4752
9Rekord Bielsko-Biala3412101245:4846
10Stal Stalowa Wola341016856:4346
11Hutnik Krakow3412101247:4046
12Swit Szczecin341281451:5944
13R. Rzeszow3410121248:4742
14Kleczew341071747:6237
15Zaglebie Sosnowiec34971837:6134
16KKS Kalisz348101637:5534
17LKS Lodz II345101933:6425
18GKS Jastrzebie34072718:846
Promotion - Division 1 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)