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Klaipedos FM vs Banga

Lithuania Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Ruskys L.
Own Goal
41' Event
Janusevskis J.
44'
Bierontas E.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-4, with Banga advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Klaipedos FM
20%
Draws
36%
Banga
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Klaipedos FM

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Banga carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Banga arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Banga, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Klaipedos FM Clean Sheet 16%
Banga Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Klaipedos FM Banga
Matches Played 9 31
Wins 3 14
Draws 0 8
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.22 1.52
Goals Conceded 2.44 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2024 Lithuanian Cup
Klaipedos FM vs Banga
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Klaipedos FM Compare

Top Goalscorer Jancauskas J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Banga Compare

Top Goalscorer Janusevskis J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Piliukaitis V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Klaipedos FM 31 / 100
Banga 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Klaipedos FM Banga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Klaipedos FM's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 9 recent games.

Defensive concern: Banga conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Klaipedos FM went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Klaipedos FM VS Banga
0 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Klaipedos FM

(Home)
19 May
Klaipedos FM
0 : 2
Dainava Alytus
28 Apr
Klaipedos FM
1 : 0
BE1 NFA
06 May
Klaipedos FM
2 : 3
Jonava
22 May
Klaipedos FM
1 : 4
Banga
05 May
AFK Vilnius
1 : 2
Klaipedos FM
Page 1 of 2

Banga

(Away)
19 Sept
Banga
2 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
14 Sept
Banga
1 : 3
Transinvest
03 Sept
Banga
0 : 3
FK Panevezys
30 Aug
Banga
0 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris
23 Aug
FC Hegelmann
1 : 1
Banga
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Nemunas 3
FK Sveikata Kybartai 1
Garliava 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 5
Tauras Taurage 0
FA Siauliai 4
FK Minija 1
Suduva 2
Viltis Vilnius 1
Nevezis Kedainiai 2
BE1 NFA 0
Ekranas 1
AFK Vilnius 1
Klaipedos FM 2
Riteriai 3
Banga 5
Euforija Vilnius 1
Transinvest 11
Zalgiris 2
FK Panevezys 1
VGTU Vilkai 1
Ukmerge 2
Sirijus 2
Dziugas Telsiai 5
Statyba-Sendvaris 1
Jonava 5
FK Atmosfera 6
BFA Vilnius 0
FK Dembava 3
FK Babrungas 4
Dainava Alytus 0
FC Hegelmann 2
1/8-finals
Nemunas 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 7
FA Siauliai 2
Suduva 1
Nevezis Kedainiai 2
Ekranas 1
Klaipedos FM 1
Banga 4
Transinvest 2
Zalgiris 1
Ukmerge 1
Dziugas Telsiai 2
Jonava 0
FK Atmosfera 2
FK Babrungas 2
FC Hegelmann 3
Quarter-finals
FK Kauno Zalgiris 3
FA Siauliai 1
Nevezis Kedainiai 0
Banga 5
Transinvest 1
Dziugas Telsiai 2
FK Atmosfera 0
FC Hegelmann 4
Semi-finals
FK Kauno Zalgiris 0
Banga 1
Dziugas Telsiai 1
FC Hegelmann 2
Final
Banga 1
FC Hegelmann 0