Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Klubi 04 vs SalPa

Finland Finland

Ykkosliiga 2025 Bolt Arena
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Klubi 04 play SalPa in the Ykkosliiga 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Klubi 04 averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. SalPa averaged 1.59 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, Klubi 04 won 4, SalPa won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 27, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Klubi 04 and 1.69 for SalPa. This points to a Klubi 04 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Klubi 04
15%
Draws
40%
SalPa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Klubi 04

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Klubi 04 picked up more points recently compared to SalPa.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Klubi 04 Clean Sheet 13%
SalPa Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Klubi 04 SalPa
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.23 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2025 Ykkosliiga
Klubi 04 vs SalPa
1:0
Aug 2, 2025 Ykkosliiga
SalPa vs Klubi 04
0:3
Jul 23, 2025 Ykkosliiga
Klubi 04 vs SalPa
3:1
Apr 5, 2025 Club Friendly
SalPa vs Klubi 04
2:1
Mar 29, 2024 Club Friendly
Klubi 04 vs SalPa
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Klubi 04 Compare

Top Goalscorer Berisha A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

SalPa Compare

Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Klubi 04 43 / 100
SalPa 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Klubi 04 SalPa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Klubi 04 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Klubi 04 attacking → ← attacking SalPa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Klubi 04 scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

SalPa let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Klubi 04 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

SalPa lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 35
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Lahti27177354:3058
2TPS27165666:4553
3Jippo271011637:3141
4Ekenas IF271251048:4341
5PK-3527119739:3040
6Klubi 04271161049:4539
7JaPS27711941:5032
8SJK Akatemia27851446:4929
9KaPa27481541:6820
10SalPa27432022:5215