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Kluczevia Stargard vs Swinoujscie

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Sadowski H.
54' Event
Pietrzyk K.
(Penalty)
67' Event
Pietrzyk K.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 game between Kluczevia Stargard and Swinoujscie finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Swinoujscie.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Kluczevia Stargard
28%
Draws
22%
Swinoujscie
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Kluczevia Stargard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Swinoujscie haven't matched Kluczevia Stargard's recent run of results.
  • Kluczevia Stargard are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Kluczevia Stargard Clean Sheet 14%
Swinoujscie Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kluczevia Stargard Swinoujscie
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 15 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 2 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Kluczevia Stargard vs Swinoujscie
2:3
Sep 13, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Swinoujscie vs Kluczevia Stargard
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kluczevia Stargard Compare

Top Goalscorer Pietrzyk K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Swinoujscie Compare

Top Goalscorer Sadowski H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Turski H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kluczevia Stargard 48 / 100
Swinoujscie 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kluczevia Stargard Swinoujscie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KLU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kluczevia Stargard scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Swinoujscie conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Away concern: Swinoujscie has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kluczevia Stargard VS Swinoujscie
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kluczevia Stargard

(Home)
25 Jul
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 1
Polonia Slubice
18 Jul
Kluczevia Stargard
3 : 0
Warta Gorzow
11 Jul
Kluczevia Stargard
1 : 2
Legnica II
08 Jul
Swit Szczecin
3 : 1
Kluczevia Stargard
30 May
Luzino
3 : 2
Kluczevia Stargard
Page 1 of 7

Swinoujscie

(Away)
25 Jul
Warta Gorzow
1 : 1
Swinoujscie
18 Jul
Swinoujscie
1 : 2
Baltyk Koszalin
11 Jul
Blekitni Stargard
4 : 0
Swinoujscie
11 Jul
Swit Szczecin
3 : 2
Swinoujscie
05 Jul
Swinoujscie
4 : 1
Warta Gorzow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zawisza34255473:2380
2Luzino34244679:3976
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol34206867:4366
4Lipno Steszew341561347:5451
5Notec Czarnkow341471349:4649
6Lech Poznan II341471367:5449
7Elana Torun341471349:5549
8Swinoujscie341471348:5249
9Wda Swiecie341461444:6648
10Unia Swarzedz341381347:4147
11Kluczevia Stargard341371454:4346
12Blekitni Stargard341291356:5145
13Victoria Wrzesnia341331841:4642
14Pogon Szczecin II341251775:6641
15Nowe Skalmierzyce341091535:4639
16Cartusia Kartuzy341151838:5138
17Tluchowo34871937:6631
18Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal34362520:8415
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)