Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KMKM vs St. Georges

Africa Africa

CAF Champions League 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Demte B.
58' Event
Zeleke N.
73' Event
Shukuru S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with St. Georges advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
KMKM
20%
Draws
63%
St. Georges
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: St. Georges

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • St. Georges carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives St. Georges a 63% chance of winning this.
  • St. Georges arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor St. Georges, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
KMKM Clean Sheet 10%
St. Georges Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KMKM St. Georges
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 5 11
Draws 3 12
Losses 21 9
Goals Scored 0.62 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.07 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2023 CAF Champions League
St. Georges vs KMKM
3:1
Aug 18, 2023 CAF Champions League
KMKM vs St. Georges
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KMKM Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

St. Georges Compare

Top Goalscorer Demte B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zeleke N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KMKM 10 / 100
St. Georges 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KMKM St. Georges

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Georges Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

St. Georges let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

KMKM found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (29 games).

KMKM has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

KMKM VS St. Georges
0 Goals Scored 1
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

KMKM

(Home)
12 Sept
Al Ahly Tripoli
4 : 0
KMKM
05 Sept
KMKM
0 : 3
Al Ahly Tripoli
24 Oct
Azam
7 : 0
KMKM
18 Oct
KMKM
0 : 2
Azam
26 Sept
KMKM
2 : 1
Port
Page 1 of 6

St. Georges

(Away)
02 Jul
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 1
St. Georges
26 Jun
St. Georges
1 : 0
Fasil Kenema
22 Jun
Shire Endaselassie
0 : 0
St. Georges
14 Jun
St. Georges
3 : 0
Mechal SC
28 May
Dire Dawa
1 : 2
St. Georges
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Hafia 2
Generation Foot 2
Wydad Athletic -
TBD -
AS Garde Nationale -
AS Douanes -
Esperance Tunis -
TBD -
Bo Rangers 2
Liberia Registry 1
CR Belouizdad -
TBD -
Medeama 2
Remo Stars 1
Horoya -
TBD -
KMKM 2
St. Georges 5
Al Ahly -
TBD -
APR 3
Gaadiidka 1
Pyramids -
TBD -
Centre Sportif Bendje 2
Bumamuru 6
Mamelodi Sundowns -
TBD -
African Stars 2
Power Dynamos 2
Simba -
TBD -
UD Songo 2
Green Mamba 1
Petro Atletico -
TBD -
Dragon FC 0
Big Bullets 3
Mazembe -
TBD -
Al Ahly Benghazi 4
Enyimba International 3
Coton FC 0
ASEC Mimosas 2
Constantine 0
Etoile Sahel 3
ASKO Kara 0
FAR Rabat 8
Real Bamako 2
Cotonsport 0
Nouadhibou 2
Al Ahly Tripoli 1
Primeiro de Agosto 2
AS Vita Club 1
Wau Salaam 0
Al-Hilal Omdurman 6
Otoho d'Oyo 1
Al-Merreikh 1
ASAS 1
Young Africans 7
Jwaneng Galaxy 3
Vipers 2
Djabal 0
Orlando Pirates 4
Final
Hafia 1
Wydad Athletic 4
AS Douanes 0
Esperance Tunis 1
Bo Rangers 2
CR Belouizdad 6
Medeama 4
Horoya 3
St. Georges 0
Al Ahly 7
APR 1
Pyramids 6
Bumamuru 0
Mamelodi Sundowns 6
Power Dynamos 3
Simba 3
UD Songo 2
Petro Atletico 5
Big Bullets 0
Mazembe 5
Al Ahly Benghazi 1
ASEC Mimosas 2
Etoile Sahel 3
FAR Rabat 1
Real Bamako 1
Nouadhibou 4
Primeiro de Agosto 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman 2
Al-Merreikh 0
Young Africans 3
Jwaneng Galaxy 2
Orlando Pirates 1