Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II vs Tallinna Kalev III

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2019/2020
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II Logo

Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II

Wed, Sep 11, 2019
2 - 1
04:00 PM
Tallinna Kalev III Logo

Tallinna Kalev III

Our Tip

Match Events

103'
Dekhtiarenko A.
103'
Dekhtiarenko A.
111' Event
El Aabchi S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II in this Estonian Cup 2019/2020 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II
6%
Draws
4%
Tallinna Kalev III
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tallinna Kalev III have won more games recently than Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II.
  • Win probability leans Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Tallinna Kalev III arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II Clean Sheet 20%
Tallinna Kalev III Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II Tallinna Kalev III
Matches Played 8 19
Wins 5 6
Draws 0 0
Losses 3 13
Goals Scored 1.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2019 Estonian Cup
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II vs Tallinna Kalev III
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II Compare

Top Goalscorer Popov S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Tallinna Kalev III Compare

Top Goalscorer El Aabchi S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II 85 / 100
Tallinna Kalev III 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II Tallinna Kalev III

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II scored in 100% of their last 7 outings.

Tallinna Kalev III let in goals in 83% of their last 18 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II VS Tallinna Kalev III
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II

(Home)
10 Mar
Elva
3 : 1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II
25 Sept
ReUnited
1 : 2
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II
11 Sept
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II
2 : 1
Tallinna Kalev III
06 Aug
Puhkus Mehhikos
0 : 6
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II
19 Jun
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II
:
JK 32. keskkool
Page 1 of 2

Tallinna Kalev III

(Away)
03 Sept
Tallinna Kalev III
1 : 8
Tallinna Kalev
26 Jul
Tallinna Kalev III
9 : 0
EstHam United
19 Jun
Tallinna Kalev III
0 : 6
Tabasalu
22 Jun
Tallinna Kalev III
0 : 10
Legion
11 Sept
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II
2 : 1
Tallinna Kalev III
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Elva3
SK EPMU Tartu0
TBD-
Viimsi Lovid-
JK Jalgpallihaigla-
TBD-
TBD-
Tarvastu-
Tabasalu-
TBD-
TransferWise1
Lelle2
Laanemaa Haapsalu-
TBD-
TBD-
Flora Tallinn U21-
ReUnited-
TBD-
TBD-
JK Poseidon-
Flora U1910
JK Poseidon II0
TBD-
Molycorp Silmet-
Tallinna Kalev III4
Tammeka Tartu IV0
TBD-
Parnu JK Vaprus-
Puhkus Mehhikos-
TBD-
JK 32. keskkool-
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II-
Tulevik-
Kadrina SK Moe-
Viimsi JK 21
Igiliikur2
Vastseliina Tannem3
Soccernet1
Mulgi0
Tallinna Wolves1
Legion II3
Tallinn Piraaja1
TBD-
Aksi Wolves-
Nomme Utd-
TBD-
FCI Tallinn1
Tammeka Tartu8
Paide Linnameeskond9
Olympic Tallinn1
TBD-
Kristiine-
Teleios-
TBD-
Viking0
Pohja-Tallinna18
Maardu Linnameeskond12
Valga Warrior0
TBD-
Elbato-
Kohtla-Nomme-
TBD-
TBD-
Flora-
Helm-
TBD-
TBD-
Rumori Calcio-
Zenit Tallinn3
Tallinna FC Zapoos0
TBD-
Levadia-
Paide Linnameeskond II13
Mauruse Saurused2
TBD-
Kose-
Keila JK-
TBD-
TBD-
Kalju-
Kuressaare-
TBD-
Maksatransport1
Kadakas3
Legion-
TBD-
Maardu Aliens-
Narva-
Eston Villa II-
TBD-
TBD-
Loo JK-
Parnu Sadam5
Kohila0
Jogeva2
Otepaa4
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool-
TBD-
Metsis0
Eston Villa15
Marjamaa Kompanii6
FC Sssolutions2
TBD-
Anija-
Tartu JK Welco-
TBD-
TBD-
Jarva-Jaani-
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve3
Rakvere0
TBD-
Voru Helios-
Tallinna Kalev-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Hell Hunt-
Helios5
Rumori Calcio II1
Parnu-Jaagupi2
Pohja-Sakala5
Viimsi JK-
TBD-
TBD-
Raplamaa-
Jogeva Wolves-
TBD-
TBD-
Pohja-Tallinna 2-
1/32-finals
Elva7
Viimsi Lovid0
JK Jalgpallihaigla2
Tarvastu7
Tabasalu1
Lelle0
Laanemaa Haapsalu1
Flora Tallinn U215
ReUnited5
JK Poseidon1
Flora U192
Molycorp Silmet5
Tallinna Kalev III3
Parnu JK Vaprus2
Puhkus Mehhikos0
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II6
Tulevik7
Igiliikur1
Vastseliina Tannem1
Tallinna Wolves5
Legion II9
Aksi Wolves0
Nomme Utd1
Tammeka Tartu3
Paide Linnameeskond10
Kristiine0
Teleios2
Pohja-Tallinna4
Maardu Linnameeskond3
Elbato0
Kohtla-Nomme0
Flora12
Helm3
Rumori Calcio2
Zenit Tallinn0
Levadia7
Paide Linnameeskond II5
Kose0
Keila JK0
Kalju2
Kuressaare12
Kadakas1
Legion0
Narva7
Eston Villa II1
Loo JK0
Parnu Sadam1
Otepaa2
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool3
Eston Villa2
Marjamaa Kompanii1
Anija2
Tartu JK Welco10
Jarva-Jaani1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve0
Voru Helios1
Tallinna Kalev1
FC Hell Hunt0
Helios1
Pohja-Sakala5
Viimsi JK2
Raplamaa0
Jogeva Wolves0
Pohja-Tallinna 26
1/16-finals
Elva4
Tarvastu1
Tabasalu2
Flora Tallinn U211
ReUnited5
Molycorp Silmet2
Tallinna Kalev III1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II2
Tulevik11
Tallinna Wolves0
Legion II0
Tammeka Tartu1
Paide Linnameeskond13
Pohja-Tallinna0
Maardu Linnameeskond0
Flora7
Helm1
Levadia21
Paide Linnameeskond II0
Kalju3
Kuressaare1
Narva3
Eston Villa II3
Otepaa0
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool3
Anija0
Tartu JK Welco1
Voru Helios2
Tallinna Kalev3
Pohja-Sakala0
Viimsi JK0
Pohja-Tallinna 22
1/8-finals
Elva2
Tabasalu0
ReUnited1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II2
Tulevik0
Tammeka Tartu1
Paide Linnameeskond1
Flora3
Levadia1
Kalju2
Narva21
Eston Villa II0
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool0
Voru Helios1
Tallinna Kalev7
Pohja-Tallinna 20
Quarter-finals
Elva3
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II1
Tammeka Tartu0
Flora3
Kalju1
Narva2
Voru Helios0
Tallinna Kalev6
Semi-finals
Elva2
Flora4
Narva4
Tallinna Kalev1
Final
Flora2
Narva1