Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kolbuszowa Dolna vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Kapuscinski P.
9' Event
Mroz P.
(Penalty)
33' Event
Musik M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 game between Kolbuszowa Dolna and Siarka Tarnobrzeg finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kolbuszowa Dolna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Kolbuszowa Dolna
11%
Draws
9%
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Kolbuszowa Dolna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Kolbuszowa Dolna carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Kolbuszowa Dolna a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Kolbuszowa Dolna Clean Sheet 20%
Siarka Tarnobrzeg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kolbuszowa Dolna Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 4 10
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Kolbuszowa Dolna vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg
4:1
Aug 16, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Kolbuszowa Dolna
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kolbuszowa Dolna Compare

Top Goalscorer Kapuscinski P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Musik M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Siarka Tarnobrzeg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kolbuszowa Dolna 76 / 100
Siarka Tarnobrzeg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kolbuszowa Dolna Siarka Tarnobrzeg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Kolbuszowa Dolna's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Siarka Tarnobrzeg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Kolbuszowa Dolna stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kolbuszowa Dolna VS Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kolbuszowa Dolna

(Home)
18 Jul
Wisloka Debica
1 : 2
Kolbuszowa Dolna
11 Jul
Jaroslaw
1 : 1
Kolbuszowa Dolna
30 May
Swidniczanka Swidnik
0 : 1
Kolbuszowa Dolna
22 May
Kolbuszowa Dolna
2 : 0
Wislanie Skawina
16 May
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
2 : 1
Kolbuszowa Dolna
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Siarka Tarnobrzeg

(Away)
18 Jul
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
3 : 4
R. Rzeszow
11 Jul
Wisloka Debica
0 : 0
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
04 Jul
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1 : 0
Busko-Zdroj
30 May
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
5 : 6
Cracovia II
24 May
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
3 : 1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Avia Swidnik34238384:3577
2Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski34228466:3074
3Chelmianka Chelm34219465:3172
4Korona Kielce II341841266:5958
5Star Starachowice341510951:4355
6Czarni Polaniec341651359:4953
7Biala Podlaska3414101060:4852
8Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow341491161:4551
9Wislanie Skawina341561352:5151
10Wisla II341541567:5849
11Wisloka Debica3412121037:3548
12Siarka Tarnobrzeg3411101359:5243
13Naprzod Jedrzejow341151845:5538
14Kolbuszowa Dolna341141936:5437
15Stal Krasnik34971842:5234
16Cracovia II34961944:7133
17Swidniczanka Swidnik34542535:8019
18Sparta Kazimierza Wielka34412929:11013
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)