Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kongsvinger vs Raufoss

Norway Norway

OBOS-ligaen Gjemselund Stadion, Kongsvinger
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Dybevik A.
Assist: Christensen F.
23' Event
Dybevik A.
Assist: Johnson G.
35' Event
Christiansen R.
Assist: Sande M.

AI Match Summary

The OBOS-ligaen game between Kongsvinger and Raufoss finished 9-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kongsvinger.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Kongsvinger
20%
Draws
28%
Raufoss
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kongsvinger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Kongsvinger carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Kongsvinger taking it.
  • Regular OBOS-ligaen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Kongsvinger Clean Sheet 15%
Raufoss Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kongsvinger Raufoss
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 21 11
Draws 6 3
Losses 4 17
Goals Scored 3.55 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.61 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 3.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Kongsvinger vs Raufoss
9:1
Apr 13, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Raufoss vs Kongsvinger
1:3
Aug 6, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Raufoss vs Kongsvinger
2:2
Jun 28, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Kongsvinger vs Raufoss
2:2
Oct 26, 2024 OBOS-ligaen
Raufoss vs Kongsvinger
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kongsvinger Compare

Top Goalscorer Dybevik A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Flores M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.98
Avg xA / game 1.94

Raufoss Compare

Top Goalscorer Rogulj A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kongsvinger 84 / 100
Raufoss 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kongsvinger Raufoss

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kongsvinger Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kongsvinger's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Raufoss's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Kongsvinger went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kongsvinger VS Raufoss
4.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kongsvinger

(Home)
20 Sept
Kongsvinger
5 : 1
Hodd
16 Sept
Eidsvold TF
2 : 3
Kongsvinger
13 Sept
Egersund
1 : 1
Kongsvinger
05 Sept
Kongsvinger
9 : 1
Raufoss
30 Aug
Kongsvinger
4 : 4
Lyn
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Raufoss

(Away)
20 Sept
Raufoss
0 : 2
Stromsgodset
16 Sept
Elverum
0 : 3
Raufoss
13 Sept
Raufoss
2 : 1
Odds BK
05 Sept
Kongsvinger
9 : 1
Raufoss
30 Aug
Raufoss
0 : 3
Sandnes Ulf
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haugesund 23 17 1 5 72:39 52
2 Kongsvinger 23 15 5 3 68:35 50
3 Stromsgodset 23 14 6 3 60:31 48
4 Stabaek 23 14 3 6 57:29 45
5 Odds BK 23 10 6 7 47:36 36
6 Bryne 23 11 2 10 32:31 35
7 Hodd 23 10 4 9 38:45 34
8 Egersund 23 8 5 10 36:44 29
9 Ranheim 23 8 4 11 56:58 28
10 Lyn 23 8 4 11 39:48 28
11 Moss 23 7 4 12 38:52 25
12 Strommen 23 7 4 12 35:52 25
13 Sandnes Ulf 23 7 3 13 32:42 24
14 Sogndal 23 6 5 12 38:53 23
15 Asane 23 5 5 13 34:52 19
16 Raufoss 23 6 1 16 26:61 19
Promotion - Eliteserien 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)