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Konyaspor vs Araz PFK

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Konyaspor play Araz PFK in the Club Friendly 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Konyaspor averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. Araz PFK averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. In past meetings, Konyaspor won 1, Araz PFK won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 14, 2025 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Konyaspor and 1.19 for Araz PFK. This points to a Konyaspor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Konyaspor
23%
Draws
28%
Araz PFK
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Konyaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Konyaspor picked up more points recently compared to Araz PFK.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Konyaspor Clean Sheet 20%
Araz PFK Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Konyaspor Araz PFK
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.33 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2025 Club Friendly
Konyaspor vs Araz PFK
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Konyaspor 48 / 100
Araz PFK 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Konyaspor Araz PFK

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Konyaspor or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Konyaspor attacking → ← attacking Araz PFK

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Konyaspor scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Araz PFK let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Konyaspor went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Araz PFK lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 36
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88