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Korona Kielce II vs Naprzod Jedrzejow

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Duda M.
18' Event
Minuczyc K.
49' Event
Turek K.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 game between Korona Kielce II and Naprzod Jedrzejow finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Korona Kielce II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Korona Kielce II
30%
Draws
34%
Naprzod Jedrzejow
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Korona Kielce II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Naprzod Jedrzejow haven't matched Korona Kielce II's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Korona Kielce II's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Korona Kielce II here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Korona Kielce II Clean Sheet 16%
Naprzod Jedrzejow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Korona Kielce II Naprzod Jedrzejow
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 10
Draws 5 3
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 2 0.75
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Korona Kielce II vs Naprzod Jedrzejow
3:2
Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Korona Kielce II vs Naprzod Jedrzejow
4:1
Sep 27, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Korona Kielce II
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Korona Kielce II Compare

Top Goalscorer Minuczyc K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Turek K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Naprzod Jedrzejow Compare

Top Goalscorer Duda M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stanek K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Korona Kielce II 36 / 100
Naprzod Jedrzejow 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Korona Kielce II Naprzod Jedrzejow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Korona Kielce II found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Naprzod Jedrzejow conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Korona Kielce II stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Korona Kielce II VS Naprzod Jedrzejow
2 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Korona Kielce II

(Home)
23 Jul
Korona Kielce II
2 : 2
Nea Salamis
11 Jul
R. Rzeszow
5 : 0
Korona Kielce II
30 May
Korona Kielce II
4 : 1
Wislanie Skawina
22 May
Korona Kielce II
2 : 1
Czarni Polaniec
16 May
Avia Swidnik
5 : 1
Korona Kielce II
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Naprzod Jedrzejow

(Away)
18 Jul
Busko-Zdroj
0 : 3
Naprzod Jedrzejow
11 Jul
Moravia Morawica
1 : 1
Naprzod Jedrzejow
08 Jul
Wislanie Skawina
5 : 2
Naprzod Jedrzejow
30 May
Naprzod Jedrzejow
0 : 3
Stal Krasnik
23 May
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 0
Naprzod Jedrzejow
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Avia Swidnik34238384:3577
2Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski34228466:3074
3Chelmianka Chelm34219465:3172
4Korona Kielce II341841266:5958
5Star Starachowice341510951:4355
6Czarni Polaniec341651359:4953
7Biala Podlaska3414101060:4852
8Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow341491161:4551
9Wislanie Skawina341561352:5151
10Wisla II341541567:5849
11Wisloka Debica3412121037:3548
12Siarka Tarnobrzeg3411101359:5243
13Naprzod Jedrzejow341151845:5538
14Kolbuszowa Dolna341141936:5437
15Stal Krasnik34971842:5234
16Cracovia II34961944:7133
17Swidniczanka Swidnik34542535:8019
18Sparta Kazimierza Wielka34412929:11013
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)