Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Korona Kielce II vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Mroz P.
(Penalty)
31' Event
Waclawek B.
80' Event
Karlinski B.

AI Match Summary

Siarka Tarnobrzeg in this III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Siarka Tarnobrzeg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Korona Kielce II
39%
Draws
31%
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Korona Kielce II lately — more wins on the board than Siarka Tarnobrzeg.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Korona Kielce II Clean Sheet 11%
Siarka Tarnobrzeg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Korona Kielce II Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 17 10
Draws 5 10
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.38 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Korona Kielce II vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1:2
Sep 6, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Korona Kielce II
3:1
Apr 12, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Korona Kielce II
1:3
Feb 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Korona Kielce II
2:4
Oct 2, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Korona Kielce II vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Korona Kielce II Compare

Top Goalscorer Karlinski B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Siarka Tarnobrzeg Compare

Top Goalscorer Waclawek B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Korona Kielce II 29 / 100
Siarka Tarnobrzeg 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Korona Kielce II Siarka Tarnobrzeg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Korona Kielce II scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: Siarka Tarnobrzeg conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

Korona Kielce II has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Korona Kielce II VS Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Avia Swidnik34238384:3577
2Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski34228466:3074
3Chelmianka Chelm34219465:3172
4Korona Kielce II341841266:5958
5Star Starachowice341510951:4355
6Czarni Polaniec341651359:4953
7Biala Podlaska3414101060:4852
8Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow341491161:4551
9Wislanie Skawina341561352:5151
10Wisla II341541567:5849
11Wisloka Debica3412121037:3548
12Siarka Tarnobrzeg3411101359:5243
13Naprzod Jedrzejow341151845:5538
14Kolbuszowa Dolna341141936:5437
15Stal Krasnik34971842:5234
16Cracovia II34961944:7133
17Swidniczanka Swidnik34542535:8019
18Sparta Kazimierza Wielka34412929:11013