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Korona Kielce U19 vs Zaragoza U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2019/2020 Exbud Arena
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Korona Kielce U19 play Zaragoza U19 in the UEFA Youth League 2019/2020. Zaragoza U19 are favorites here. Recently, Korona Kielce U19 averaged 1.84 goals scored and 2.16 conceded. Zaragoza U19 averaged 3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. In past meetings, Korona Kielce U19 won 0, Zaragoza U19 won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 23, 2019 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Korona Kielce U19 and 1.75 for Zaragoza U19. This points to a Zaragoza U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Korona Kielce U19
16%
Draws
62%
Zaragoza U19
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Zaragoza U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Korona Kielce U19 picked up more points recently compared to Zaragoza U19.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Korona Kielce U19 Clean Sheet 12%
Zaragoza U19 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Korona Kielce U19 Zaragoza U19
Matches Played 32 5
Wins 9 4
Draws 6 0
Losses 17 1
Goals Scored 1.84 3
Goals Conceded 2.16 0.8

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2019 UEFA Youth League
Korona Kielce U19 vs Zaragoza U19
1:4
Oct 9, 2019 UEFA Youth League
Zaragoza U19 vs Korona Kielce U19
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Korona Kielce U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lisowski D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Zaragoza U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Azon I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vela A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Korona Kielce U19 22 / 100
Zaragoza U19 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Korona Kielce U19 Zaragoza U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zaragoza U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Zaragoza U19 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +57.1%
7.14
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Korona Kielce U19 attacking → ← attacking Zaragoza U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Korona Kielce U19 scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Zaragoza U19 let in goals in 40% of their last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Korona Kielce U19 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Zaragoza U19 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 12
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00