Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Korona Kielce vs GKS Katowice

Poland Poland

Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 Exbud Arena, Kielce
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Jedrych A.
58'
Sub
Zwozny H. In: Davidovic S.
Out: Zwozny H.
65'
Sub
Markovic E. In: Wdowiak M.
Out: Markovic E.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Korona Kielce
39%
Draws
31%
GKS Katowice
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Korona Kielce haven't matched GKS Katowice's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Korona Kielce Clean Sheet 19%
GKS Katowice Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Korona Kielce GKS Katowice
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 9 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 0.75 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce vs GKS Katowice
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 Ekstraklasa
GKS Katowice vs Korona Kielce
1:0
May 5, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce vs GKS Katowice
2:1
Nov 4, 2024 Ekstraklasa
GKS Katowice vs Korona Kielce
1:2
Dec 10, 2022 Club Friendly
Korona Kielce vs GKS Katowice
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Korona Kielce Compare

Top Goalscorer Pieczek M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

GKS Katowice Compare

Top Goalscorer Jedrych A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Korona Kielce 31 / 100
GKS Katowice 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Korona Kielce GKS Katowice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Korona Kielce scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

GKS Katowice has conceded goals in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Korona Kielce went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Korona Kielce VS GKS Katowice
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Korona Kielce

(Home)
17 Jul
Korona Kielce
0 : 2
Termalica Bruk-Bet
14 Jul
Korona Kielce
0 : 0
S. Rzeszow
09 Jul
Korona Kielce
0 : 0
Omonia
04 Jul
Korona Kielce
4 : 0
Michalovce
23 May
Cracovia
1 : 1
Korona Kielce
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GKS Katowice

(Away)
23 Jul
Zilina
2 : 1
GKS Katowice
16 Jul
GKS Katowice
1 : 1
Rakow Czestochowa
11 Jul
GKS Katowice
3 : 1
S. Rzeszow
01 Jul
GKS Katowice
2 : 0
Legnica
01 Jul
GKS Katowice
0 : 1
Piast Gliwice
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lech Poznan341612662:4560
2Gornik Zabrze341681050:3856
3Jagiellonia341511856:4156
4Rakow Czestochowa341671151:4055
5GKS Katowice341481251:4550
6Legia341213942:3749
7Zaglebie341391245:3848
8Wisla Plock3412101234:3846
9Pogon Szczecin341361547:4945
10Radomiak Radom3411111252:5344
11Korona Kielce3411101340:4043
12Motor Lublin3410131146:5343
13Cracovia349151039:4242
14Widzew Lodz341261641:4142
15Piast Gliwice341181542:4641
16Lechia Gdansk341271562:6538
17Arka Gdynia34991634:6136
18Termalica Bruk-Bet34971843:6534
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)