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Korona Kielce vs Termalica Bruk-Bet

Poland Poland

Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 Exbud Arena, Kielce
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Pieczek M.
Assist: Sotiriou K.
46'
Sub
Matysik M. In: Putivtsev A.
Out: Matysik M.
52' Event
Sotiriou K.

AI Match Summary

The Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 game between Korona Kielce and Termalica Bruk-Bet finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Korona Kielce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Korona Kielce
22%
Draws
60%
Termalica Bruk-Bet
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Termalica Bruk-Bet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Korona Kielce haven't matched Termalica Bruk-Bet's recent run of results.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Termalica Bruk-Bet taking it.
  • Regular Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Korona Kielce have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Korona Kielce Clean Sheet 20%
Termalica Bruk-Bet Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Korona Kielce Termalica Bruk-Bet
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 15
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.88 3.25
Goals Conceded 0.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Korona Kielce vs Termalica Bruk-Bet
0:2
Mar 7, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce vs Termalica Bruk-Bet
2:1
Aug 30, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Termalica Bruk-Bet vs Korona Kielce
1:3
Sep 6, 2024 Club Friendly
Termalica Bruk-Bet vs Korona Kielce
1:2
Jul 15, 2023 Club Friendly
Korona Kielce vs Termalica Bruk-Bet
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Korona Kielce Compare

Top Goalscorer Pieczek M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sotiriou K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Termalica Bruk-Bet Compare

Top Goalscorer Durdov I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.95
Avg xA / game 1.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Korona Kielce 20 / 100
Termalica Bruk-Bet 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Korona Kielce Termalica Bruk-Bet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Termalica Bruk-Bet let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Korona Kielce scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Korona Kielce remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Korona Kielce VS Termalica Bruk-Bet
0.88 Goals Scored 3.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Korona Kielce

(Home)
26 Jul
Korona Kielce
1 : 0
Aris Limassol
25 Jul
Jagiellonia
1 : 0
Korona Kielce
17 Jul
Korona Kielce
0 : 2
Termalica Bruk-Bet
14 Jul
Korona Kielce
0 : 0
S. Rzeszow
09 Jul
Korona Kielce
0 : 0
Omonia
Page 1 of 6

Termalica Bruk-Bet

(Away)
26 Jul
Termalica Bruk-Bet
2 : 0
Ruch Chorzow
18 Jul
Termalica Bruk-Bet
1 : 1
Podbeskidzie
17 Jul
Korona Kielce
0 : 2
Termalica Bruk-Bet
11 Jul
Sandecja Nowy S.
1 : 2
Termalica Bruk-Bet
08 Jul
Puszcza
0 : 3
Termalica Bruk-Bet
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lech Poznan341612662:4560
2Gornik Zabrze341681050:3856
3Jagiellonia341511856:4156
4Rakow Czestochowa341671151:4055
5GKS Katowice341481251:4550
6Legia341213942:3749
7Zaglebie341391245:3848
8Wisla Plock3412101234:3846
9Pogon Szczecin341361547:4945
10Radomiak Radom3411111252:5344
11Korona Kielce3411101340:4043
12Motor Lublin3410131146:5343
13Cracovia349151039:4242
14Widzew Lodz341261641:4142
15Piast Gliwice341181542:4641
16Lechia Gdansk341271562:6538
17Arka Gdynia34991634:6136
18Termalica Bruk-Bet34971843:6534
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)