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Stadium Background

Korona Kielce vs Wisla Prediction & H2H Stats

Poland Poland

Ekstraklasa Exbud Arena, Kielce
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Igbekeme J.
24' Event
Lingr O.
46'
Sub
Igbekeme J. In: Rodado A.
Out: Igbekeme J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ekstraklasa matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Korona Kielce
20%
Draws
40%
Wisla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Wisla lately — more wins on the board than Korona Kielce.
  • Korona Kielce are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Ekstraklasa form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Korona Kielce Clean Sheet 18%
Wisla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Korona Kielce Wisla
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.17 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce vs Wisla
1:1
Jul 11, 2020 Ekstraklasa
Wisla vs Korona Kielce
1:1
Feb 23, 2020 Ekstraklasa
Wisla vs Korona Kielce
2:0
Sep 14, 2019 Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce vs Wisla
1:1
May 10, 2019 Ekstraklasa
Wisla vs Korona Kielce
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Korona Kielce Compare

Top Goalscorer Lingr O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Wisla Compare

Top Goalscorer Uryga A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Korona Kielce 49 / 100
Wisla 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Korona Kielce Wisla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Korona Kielce Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Korona Kielce scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Wisla conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Korona Kielce remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Korona Kielce VS Wisla
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Korona Kielce

(Home)
19 Sept
Korona Kielce
3 : 2
Rakow Czestochowa
15 Sept
Korona Kielce
0 : 2
Gornik Zabrze
12 Sept
Slask Wroclaw
1 : 2
Korona Kielce
05 Sept
Korona Kielce
1 : 1
Wisla
02 Sept
Widzew Lodz
0 : 1
Korona Kielce
Page 1 of 6

Wisla

(Away)
26 Sept
Dalin Myslenice
0 : 4
Wisla
18 Sept
Wisla
2 : 1
Slask Wroclaw
11 Sept
Wisla
2 : 0
Jagiellonia
05 Sept
Korona Kielce
1 : 1
Wisla
01 Sept
Odra Opole
2 : 1
Wisla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gornik Zabrze 9 7 1 1 16:8 22
2 Legia 9 5 4 0 19:8 19
3 Lech Poznan 8 6 1 1 17:7 19
4 Wisla 9 5 2 2 17:12 17
5 Pogon Szczecin 8 4 3 1 12:6 15
6 Korona Kielce 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
7 Zaglebie 9 4 3 2 11:10 15
8 Piast Gliwice 9 4 1 4 16:15 13
9 GKS Katowice 8 4 0 4 16:13 12
10 Jagiellonia 8 4 0 4 12:13 12
11 Wisla Plock 8 3 2 3 9:12 11
12 Widzew Lodz 9 1 6 2 13:13 9
13 Cracovia 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
14 Radomiak Radom 9 2 2 5 7:20 8
15 Slask Wroclaw 9 1 3 5 11:15 6
16 Motor Lublin 9 1 3 5 9:15 6
17 KS Wieczysta Krakow 8 1 2 5 11:17 5
18 Rakow Czestochowa 9 1 0 8 12:21 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)