Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kosovo vs Sweden

World World

World Championship 2026 Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri, Pristina
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Rexhbecaj E.
42' Event
Muriqi V.
Assist: Rrahmani A.
46'
Sub
Larsson H. In: Nanasi S.
Out: Larsson H.

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Kosovo and Sweden finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kosovo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Kosovo
30%
Draws
29%
Sweden
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kosovo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kosovo come out ahead of Sweden on wins alone.
  • Kosovo are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Kosovo Clean Sheet 16%
Sweden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kosovo Sweden
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 13
Draws 3 5
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.57 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2025 World Championship
Sweden vs Kosovo
0:1
Sep 8, 2025 World Championship
Kosovo vs Sweden
2:0
Oct 9, 2021 World Championship
Sweden vs Kosovo
3:0
Mar 28, 2021 World Championship
Kosovo vs Sweden
0:3
Jan 12, 2020 Friendly International
Sweden vs Kosovo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kosovo Compare

Top Goalscorer Rexhbecaj E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Muriqi V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Sweden Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kosovo 66 / 100
Sweden 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kosovo Sweden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kosovo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sweden let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Kosovo scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Kosovo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kosovo VS Sweden
1.5 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Kosovo

(Home)
07 Jun
Kosovo
3 : 0
Andorra
31 May
Czech Republic
2 : 1
Kosovo
31 Mar
Kosovo
0 : 1
Turkey
26 Mar
Slovakia
3 : 4
Kosovo
18 Nov
Kosovo
1 : 1
Switzerland
Page 1 of 6

Sweden

(Away)
30 Jun
France
3 : 0
Sweden
25 Jun
Japan
1 : 1
Sweden
20 Jun
Netherlands
5 : 1
Sweden
15 Jun
Sweden
5 : 1
Tunisia
04 Jun
Sweden
2 : 2
Greece
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany 6 5 0 1 16:3 15
2 Slovakia 6 4 0 2 6:8 12
3 Northern Ireland 6 3 0 3 7:6 9
4 Luxembourg 6 0 0 6 1:13 0
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 6 4 2 0 14:2 14
2 Kosovo 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
3 Slovenia 6 0 4 2 3:8 4
4 Sweden 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scotland 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Denmark 6 3 2 1 16:7 11
3 Greece 6 2 1 3 10:12 7
4 Belarus 6 0 2 4 4:17 2
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 6 5 1 0 16:4 16
2 Ukraine 6 3 1 2 10:11 10
3 Iceland 6 2 1 3 13:11 7
4 Azerbaijan 6 0 1 5 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 6 5 1 0 21:2 16
2 Turkey 6 4 1 1 17:12 13
3 Georgia 6 1 0 5 7:15 3
4 Bulgaria 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 6 4 1 1 20:7 13
2 Ireland 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
3 Hungary 6 2 2 2 11:10 8
4 Armenia 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 8 6 2 0 27:4 20
2 Poland 8 5 2 1 14:7 17
3 Finland 8 3 1 4 8:14 10
4 Malta 8 1 2 5 4:19 5
5 Lithuania 8 0 3 5 6:15 3
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League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria 8 6 1 1 22:4 19
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 8 5 2 1 17:7 17
3 Romania 8 4 1 3 19:10 13
4 Cyprus 8 2 2 4 11:11 8
5 San Marino 8 0 0 8 2:39 0
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League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway 8 8 0 0 37:5 24
2 Italy 8 6 0 2 21:12 18
3 Israel 8 4 0 4 19:20 12
4 Estonia 8 1 1 6 8:21 4
5 Moldova 8 0 1 7 5:32 1
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League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium 8 5 3 0 29:7 18
2 Wales 8 5 1 2 21:11 16
3 North Macedonia 8 3 4 1 13:10 13
4 Kazakhstan 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
5 Liechtenstein 8 0 0 8 0:31 0
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League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England 8 8 0 0 22:0 24
2 Albania 8 4 2 2 7:5 14
3 Serbia 8 4 1 3 9:10 13
4 Latvia 8 1 2 5 5:15 5
5 Andorra 8 0 1 7 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia 8 7 1 0 26:4 22
2 Czech Republic 8 5 1 2 18:8 16
3 Faroe Islands 8 4 0 4 11:9 12
4 Montenegro 8 3 0 5 8:17 9
5 Gibraltar 8 0 0 8 3:28 0
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