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Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs Puszcza

Poland Poland

Polish Cup 2024/2025 Municipal Stadium Sebastiana Karpiniuka
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kotwica Kolobrzeg play Puszcza in the Polish Cup 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kotwica Kolobrzeg averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.62 conceded. Puszcza averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. In past meetings, Kotwica Kolobrzeg won 1, Puszcza won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Oct 29, 2024 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Kotwica Kolobrzeg and 1.43 for Puszcza. This points to a Puszcza double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
29%
Draws
47%
Puszcza
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Puszcza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Kotwica Kolobrzeg picked up more points recently compared to Puszcza.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.43 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Kotwica Kolobrzeg Clean Sheet 17%
Puszcza Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kotwica Kolobrzeg Puszcza
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 5 14
Draws 7 5
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 0.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.37

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2024 Polish Cup
Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs Puszcza
0:1
Apr 8, 2017 Division 2
Puszcza vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg
2:1
Sep 10, 2016 Division 2
Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs Puszcza
1:0
May 15, 2016 Division 2
Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs Puszcza
0:0
Oct 24, 2015 Division 2
Puszcza vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kotwica Kolobrzeg Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Puszcza Compare

Top Goalscorer Siemaszko A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kotwica Kolobrzeg 25 / 100
Puszcza 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kotwica Kolobrzeg Puszcza

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Puszcza or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +50%
6.25
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kotwica Kolobrzeg attacking → ← attacking Puszcza

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kotwica Kolobrzeg scored in 54% of their last 26 games.

Puszcza let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Kotwica Kolobrzeg went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Puszcza lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 47
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00