Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kotwica Kornik vs Pogon Szczecin II

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Czaplinski J.
84' Event
Wlodarczyk C.
90' Event
Borucki A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group II 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Kotwica Kornik
6%
Draws
90%
Pogon Szczecin II
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pogon Szczecin II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Pogon Szczecin II have won more games recently than Kotwica Kornik.
  • Model gives Pogon Szczecin II a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Kotwica Kornik Clean Sheet 20%
Pogon Szczecin II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kotwica Kornik Pogon Szczecin II
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 8 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.6 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.20 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Kotwica Kornik vs Pogon Szczecin II
2:2
Nov 15, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Pogon Szczecin II vs Kotwica Kornik
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kotwica Kornik Compare

Top Goalscorer Borucki A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Welniak F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Pogon Szczecin II Compare

Top Goalscorer Czaplinski J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wlodarczyk C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kotwica Kornik 10 / 100
Pogon Szczecin II 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kotwica Kornik Pogon Szczecin II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pogon Szczecin II let in goals in 91% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Kotwica Kornik's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Kotwica Kornik remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kotwica Kornik VS Pogon Szczecin II
1.6 Goals Scored 1.13
1.2 Goals Conceded 1.5
60% Over 1.5 75%
60% Over 2.5 75%
20% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kotwica Kornik

(Home)
25 Jul
Kotwica Kornik
1 : 2
Unia Swarzedz
25 Jul
Warta Poznan II
0 : 1
Kotwica Kornik
18 Jul
Kotwica Kornik
6 : 1
Gornik Konin
11 Jul
Lipno Steszew
3 : 0
Kotwica Kornik
31 Jan
Kotwica Kornik
1 : 3
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Page 1 of 6

Pogon Szczecin II

(Away)
30 May
Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal
1 : 4
Pogon Szczecin II
24 May
Pogon Szczecin II
13 : 1
Wda Swiecie
17 May
Swinoujscie
1 : 2
Pogon Szczecin II
13 May
Pogon Szczecin II
4 : 0
Elana Torun
09 May
Pogon Szczecin II
2 : 1
Kluczevia Stargard
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kleczew34226660:3572
2Blekitni Stargard34196978:4563
3Zawisza34178965:4159
4Pogon Szczecin II341513672:4558
5Lech Poznan II34169965:4757
6Unia Swarzedz341510958:4755
7Polonia Sroda Wielkopol341491167:5851
8Nowe Skalmierzyce341461447:4748
9Elana Torun341114944:4247
10Wda Swiecie3412101247:4146
11Notec Czarnkow341361561:6445
12Swinoujscie341281448:5644
13Cartusia Kartuzy341271543:5143
14Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal341071732:5437
15Kotwica Kornik348121449:6036
16Gedania Gdansk341042043:8034
17Gryf Slupsk346121638:5530
18Vineta Wolin34452548:9717
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)