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Kotwica Kornik vs Unia Swarzedz

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Zaborniak D.
18' Event
Borowiak K.
24' Event
Siedlecki B.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group II 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Kotwica Kornik
33%
Draws
27%
Unia Swarzedz
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Kotwica Kornik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Unia Swarzedz lately — more wins on the board than Kotwica Kornik.
  • Win probability leans Kotwica Kornik's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Kotwica Kornik Clean Sheet 17%
Unia Swarzedz Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kotwica Kornik Unia Swarzedz
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 12
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 1 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Kotwica Kornik vs Unia Swarzedz
3:3
Feb 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Kotwica Kornik vs Unia Swarzedz
2:2
Oct 18, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Kotwica Kornik
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kotwica Kornik Compare

Top Goalscorer Borowiak K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Siedlecki B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Unia Swarzedz Compare

Top Goalscorer Zaborniak D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader De Souza V. F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kotwica Kornik 39 / 100
Unia Swarzedz 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kotwica Kornik Unia Swarzedz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Kotwica Kornik found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Unia Swarzedz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Kotwica Kornik has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kotwica Kornik VS Unia Swarzedz
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kleczew34226660:3572
2Blekitni Stargard34196978:4563
3Zawisza34178965:4159
4Pogon Szczecin II341513672:4558
5Lech Poznan II34169965:4757
6Unia Swarzedz341510958:4755
7Polonia Sroda Wielkopol341491167:5851
8Nowe Skalmierzyce341461447:4748
9Elana Torun341114944:4247
10Wda Swiecie3412101247:4146
11Notec Czarnkow341361561:6445
12Swinoujscie341281448:5644
13Cartusia Kartuzy341271543:5143
14Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal341071732:5437
15Kotwica Kornik348121449:6036
16Gedania Gdansk341042043:8034
17Gryf Slupsk346121638:5530
18Vineta Wolin34452548:9717