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Kozani FC vs Aiolikos FC

Greece Greece

Super League 2 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kozani FC play Aiolikos FC in the Super League 2 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kozani FC averaged 1.18 goals scored and 0.82 conceded. Aiolikos FC averaged 0.79 goals scored and 1.64 conceded. In past meetings, Kozani FC won 1, Aiolikos FC won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 22, 2024 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.79 for Kozani FC and 1.31 for Aiolikos FC. This points to a Kozani FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Kozani FC
32%
Draws
22%
Aiolikos FC
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Kozani FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Kozani FC picked up more points recently compared to Aiolikos FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.79 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Kozani FC Clean Sheet 18%
Aiolikos FC Clean Sheet 18%
First Half Goal 56%
Second Half Goal 59%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kozani FC Aiolikos FC
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 13 4
Draws 10 7
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.18 0.79
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.64

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2024 Super League 2
Kozani FC vs Aiolikos FC
4:1
Apr 14, 2024 Super League 2
Aiolikos FC vs Kozani FC
0:0
Dec 17, 2023 Super League 2
Aiolikos FC vs Kozani FC
0:0
Sep 24, 2023 Super League 2
Kozani FC vs Aiolikos FC
1:2
Jun 18, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Aiolikos FC vs Kozani FC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kozani FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Maksimovic D.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Natsos S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Aiolikos FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Hamidovic E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kozani FC 45 / 100
Aiolikos FC 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kozani FC Aiolikos FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kozani FC or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kozani FC attacking → ← attacking Aiolikos FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kozani FC scored in 55% of their last 33 games.

Aiolikos FC let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Kozani FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Aiolikos FC lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 19
0.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00