Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kozuf Gevgelija vs Belasica Strumica

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Kozuf Gevgelija
6%
Draws
4%
Belasica Strumica
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kozuf Gevgelija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Belasica Strumica lately — more wins on the board than Kozuf Gevgelija.
  • Model gives Kozuf Gevgelija a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Kozuf Gevgelija Clean Sheet 20%
Belasica Strumica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kozuf Gevgelija Belasica Strumica
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 13 17
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 2.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Kozuf Gevgelija vs Belasica Strumica
0:2
Apr 18, 2026 2. MFL
Belasica Strumica vs Kozuf Gevgelija
0:0
Jan 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Kozuf Gevgelija vs Belasica Strumica
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 2. MFL
Kozuf Gevgelija vs Belasica Strumica
0:2
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Belasica Strumica vs Kozuf Gevgelija
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kozuf Gevgelija 85 / 100
Belasica Strumica 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kozuf Gevgelija Belasica Strumica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Kozuf Gevgelija stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Kozuf Gevgelija scored in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Belasica Strumica let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kozuf Gevgelija VS Belasica Strumica
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kozuf Gevgelija

(Home)
28 Jul
Kozuf Gevgelija
0 : 2
Belasica Strumica
25 Jul
Kozuf Gevgelija
1 : 0
Novaci
30 May
Kozuf Gevgelija
4 : 0
Borec
23 May
Vardar Negotino
0 : 5
Kozuf Gevgelija
16 May
Kozuf Gevgelija
1 : 4
Teteks
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Belasica Strumica

(Away)
28 Jul
Kozuf Gevgelija
0 : 2
Belasica Strumica
24 Jul
Belasitsa Petrich
2 : 0
Belasica Strumica
18 Jul
Belasica Strumica
0 : 3
Septemvri Simitli
23 May
Prespa
1 : 3
Belasica Strumica
16 May
Belasica Strumica
1 : 0
Kamenica Sasa
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