Sport Picks

North Macedonia

2. MFL 2025/2026

Kamenica Sasa

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kozuf Gevgelija play Kamenica Sasa in the 2. MFL 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kozuf Gevgelija averaged 1.53 goals scored and 1 conceded. Kamenica Sasa averaged 1.24 goals scored and 1.86 conceded. In past meetings, Kozuf Gevgelija won 1, Kamenica Sasa won 0, and they drew 4. Their last match on Mar 3, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for Kozuf Gevgelija and 1.06 for Kamenica Sasa. This points to a Kozuf Gevgelija double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

Kozuf Gevgelija

35%

Draws

27%

Kamenica Sasa

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kozuf Gevgelija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Kozuf Gevgelija picked up more points recently compared to Kamenica Sasa.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.06 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 50%

Over 3.5 Goals 30%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%

Kozuf Gevgelija Clean Sheet 22%

Kamenica Sasa Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 62%

Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kozuf Gevgelija	Kamenica Sasa
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	11	8
Draws	8	7
Losses	11	14
Goals Scored	1.53	1.24
Goals Conceded	1	1.86
Expected Goals (xG)	2.50	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2026 2. MFL

Kozuf Gevgelija vs Kamenica Sasa

Possession: 40% - 53% Cards: 3 - 3

2:2

Sep 6, 2025 2. MFL

Kamenica Sasa vs Kozuf Gevgelija

Possession: 51% - 54% Cards: 3 - 4

1:3

Feb 15, 2025 2. MFL

Kamenica Sasa vs Kozuf Gevgelija

Possession: 46% - 53% Cards: 2 - 0

1:1

Aug 17, 2024 2. MFL

Kozuf Gevgelija vs Kamenica Sasa

Possession: 58% - 49% Cards: 4 - 1

2:2

Aug 10, 2024 Club Friendly

Kamenica Sasa vs Kozuf Gevgelija

Possession: 54% - 44% Cards: 1 - 3

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kozuf Gevgelija 39 / 100

Kamenica Sasa 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kozuf Gevgelija Kamenica Sasa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kozuf Gevgelija or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26.5%

3.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.5%

2.27

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kozuf Gevgelija attacking → ← attacking Kamenica Sasa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kozuf Gevgelija scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Kamenica Sasa let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Kozuf Gevgelija went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Kamenica Sasa lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 31

2.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bregalnica Stip	30	22	5	3	72:17	71
2	FK Skopje	30	23	2	5	72:20	71
3	Shkendija Haracine	30	21	6	3	67:19	69
4	Ohrid	30	21	5	4	78:17	68
5	Belasica Strumica	30	18	4	8	57:21	58
6	Osogovo	30	16	6	8	53:27	54
7	Novaci	30	15	6	9	47:31	51
8	Detonit Plackovica	30	14	7	9	52:28	49
9	Kozuf Gevgelija	30	12	9	9	50:26	45
10	Teteks	30	13	3	14	56:44	42
11	Kamenica Sasa	30	9	9	12	47:53	36
12	Vardar Negotino	30	6	4	20	37:95	22
13	Sloga Vinica	30	4	3	23	31:84	15
14	Prespa	30	5	0	25	30:76	15
15	Pobeda	30	3	2	25	19:117	11
16	Golemo Konjari	30	2	1	27	17:110	7