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Stadium Background

Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Akron Togliatti

Russia Russia

Premier League 2025/2026 Samara Arena
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Krylya Sovetov Samara play Akron Togliatti in the Premier League 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Krylya Sovetov Samara averaged 1.54 goals scored and 1.65 conceded. Akron Togliatti averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. In past meetings, Krylya Sovetov Samara won 1, Akron Togliatti won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 17, 2026 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Krylya Sovetov Samara and 1.63 for Akron Togliatti. This points to a Krylya Sovetov Samara double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Krylya Sovetov Samara
16%
Draws
41%
Akron Togliatti
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Krylya Sovetov Samara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Krylya Sovetov Samara picked up more points recently compared to Akron Togliatti.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Krylya Sovetov Samara Clean Sheet 14%
Akron Togliatti Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Krylya Sovetov Samara Akron Togliatti
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 10 10
Draws 4 4
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.54 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Premier League
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Akron Togliatti
4:1
Jul 19, 2025 Premier League
Akron Togliatti vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
1:1
Mar 9, 2025 Premier League
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Akron Togliatti
0:2
Nov 3, 2024 Premier League
Akron Togliatti vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
2:0
Jun 30, 2022 Club Friendly
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Akron Togliatti
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Krylya Sovetov Samara Compare

Top Goalscorer Vityugov M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rasskazov N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Akron Togliatti Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Krylya Sovetov Samara 42 / 100
Akron Togliatti 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Krylya Sovetov Samara Akron Togliatti

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Krylya Sovetov Samara or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Krylya Sovetov Samara attacking → ← attacking Akron Togliatti

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Krylya Sovetov Samara scored in 69% of their last 26 games.

Akron Togliatti let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Krylya Sovetov Samara went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Akron Togliatti lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 34
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Zenit St Petersburg30208253:1968
2Krasnodar30206460:2366
3Lokomotiv Moscow301411554:3953
4Spartak Moscow30157847:3952
5CSKA Moscow30156944:3351
6Baltika301113638:2146
7Dynamo Moscow30129951:4045
8Rubin Kazan301110929:3043
9Akhmat Grozny309101135:3937
10FK Rostov30891325:3233
11Krylya Sovetov Samara30881435:5032
12Orenburg30781529:4429
13Akron Togliatti30691535:5327
14Dynamo Makhachkala305111419:3726
15Pari Nizhny Novgorod30651926:5023
16PFC Sochi30642029:6022