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Stadium Background

Krylya Sovetov Samara vs CSKA Moscow

Russia Russia

Russian Cup 2025/2026 Samara Arena
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Krylya Sovetov Samara play CSKA Moscow in the Russian Cup 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Krylya Sovetov Samara averaged 1.54 goals scored and 1.65 conceded. CSKA Moscow averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, Krylya Sovetov Samara won 0, CSKA Moscow won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 18, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Krylya Sovetov Samara and 1.25 for CSKA Moscow. This points to a CSKA Moscow double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Krylya Sovetov Samara
24%
Draws
41%
CSKA Moscow
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: CSKA Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Krylya Sovetov Samara picked up more points recently compared to CSKA Moscow.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66%
Krylya Sovetov Samara Clean Sheet 19%
CSKA Moscow Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Krylya Sovetov Samara CSKA Moscow
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 10 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.54 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Premier League
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs CSKA Moscow
1:1
Apr 7, 2026 Russian Cup
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs CSKA Moscow
2:5
Oct 25, 2025 Premier League
CSKA Moscow vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
1:0
Apr 20, 2025 Premier League
CSKA Moscow vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
1:1
Feb 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs CSKA Moscow
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Krylya Sovetov Samara Compare

Top Goalscorer Oleynikov I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lepskii I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

CSKA Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Gondou L.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Oblyakov I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Krylya Sovetov Samara 35 / 100
CSKA Moscow 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Krylya Sovetov Samara CSKA Moscow

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: CSKA Moscow or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Krylya Sovetov Samara attacking → ← attacking CSKA Moscow

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Krylya Sovetov Samara scored in 69% of their last 26 games.

CSKA Moscow let in goals in 96% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Krylya Sovetov Samara went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

CSKA Moscow lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 38
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00