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Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Neftekhimik

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Krylya Sovetov Samara play Neftekhimik in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Krylya Sovetov Samara averaged 1.56 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Neftekhimik averaged 1.42 goals scored and 1.32 conceded. In past meetings, Krylya Sovetov Samara won 3, Neftekhimik won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 28, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Krylya Sovetov Samara and 1.19 for Neftekhimik. This points to a Krylya Sovetov Samara double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Krylya Sovetov Samara
31%
Draws
31%
Neftekhimik
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Krylya Sovetov Samara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Krylya Sovetov Samara picked up more points recently compared to Neftekhimik.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Krylya Sovetov Samara Clean Sheet 20%
Neftekhimik Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Krylya Sovetov Samara Neftekhimik
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 11 10
Draws 4 12
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.56 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Neftekhimik
1:1
Jul 7, 2023 Club Friendly
Neftekhimik vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
2:3
Mar 24, 2021 FNL
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Neftekhimik
2:0
Sep 27, 2020 FNL
Neftekhimik vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
1:1
Feb 8, 2020 Club Friendly
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Neftekhimik
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Krylya Sovetov Samara Compare

Top Goalscorer Babkin S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Neftekhimik Compare

Top Goalscorer Mashukov I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Krylya Sovetov Samara 38 / 100
Neftekhimik 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Krylya Sovetov Samara Neftekhimik

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Krylya Sovetov Samara or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Krylya Sovetov Samara attacking → ← attacking Neftekhimik

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Krylya Sovetov Samara scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Neftekhimik let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Krylya Sovetov Samara went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Neftekhimik lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 42
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38