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KS Mieszko Gniezno vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Staron L.
32' Event
Wlodyka K.
81' Event
Wysocki M.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 game between KS Mieszko Gniezno and Kotwica Kolobrzeg finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kotwica Kolobrzeg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
KS Mieszko Gniezno
6%
Draws
90%
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kotwica Kolobrzeg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kotwica Kolobrzeg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Kotwica Kolobrzeg a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Kotwica Kolobrzeg have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
KS Mieszko Gniezno Clean Sheet 10%
Kotwica Kolobrzeg Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KS Mieszko Gniezno Kotwica Kolobrzeg
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 0 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 25 15
Goals Scored 1.67 0.5
Goals Conceded 3.33 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.33 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2021 III Liga - Group II
KS Mieszko Gniezno vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg
0:3
Aug 1, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs KS Mieszko Gniezno
2:0
Apr 4, 2020 III Liga - Group II
KS Mieszko Gniezno vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg
0:0
Aug 24, 2019 III Liga - Group II
Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs KS Mieszko Gniezno
5:1
May 11, 2019 III Liga - Group II
Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs KS Mieszko Gniezno
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KS Mieszko Gniezno Compare

Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Kotwica Kolobrzeg Compare

Top Goalscorer Staron L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wlodyka K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KS Mieszko Gniezno 10 / 100
Kotwica Kolobrzeg 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KS Mieszko Gniezno Kotwica Kolobrzeg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Kotwica Kolobrzeg has conceded goals in 76% of their last 34 outings.

Kotwica Kolobrzeg's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: KS Mieszko Gniezno scored in 40% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

KS Mieszko Gniezno VS Kotwica Kolobrzeg
1.67 Goals Scored 0.5
3.33 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 38%
100% Over 2.5 25%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

KS Mieszko Gniezno

(Home)
11 Jul
Polonia Slubice
3 : 1
KS Mieszko Gniezno
07 Feb
KS Mieszko Gniezno
2 : 2
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
12 Feb
Unia Swarzedz
5 : 2
KS Mieszko Gniezno
25 Jan
KS Mieszko Gniezno
1 : 2
Kleczew
10 Oct
KS Mieszko Gniezno
1 : 6
Warta Poznan
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Kotwica Kolobrzeg

(Away)
24 Sept
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
0 : 3
Pogon Szczecin
25 May
Termalica Bruk-Bet
2 : 1
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
17 May
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
1 : 1
Pogon Siedlce
11 May
Odra Opole
4 : 2
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
05 May
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
2 : 1
Chrobry Glogow
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