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KSK Tongeren vs City Pirates

Belgium Belgium

Second Amateur Division Group VFV B 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

KSK Tongeren play City Pirates in the Second Amateur Division Group VFV B 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, KSK Tongeren averaged 1.32 goals scored and 1.74 conceded. City Pirates averaged 1.13 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. In past meetings, KSK Tongeren won 3, City Pirates won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 21, 2024 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for KSK Tongeren and 1.94 for City Pirates. This points to a KSK Tongeren double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
KSK Tongeren
19%
Draws
30%
City Pirates
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: KSK Tongeren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • KSK Tongeren picked up more points recently compared to City Pirates.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
KSK Tongeren Clean Sheet 10%
City Pirates Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KSK Tongeren City Pirates
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 12 4
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 1.32 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.74 2.4

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2024 Second Amateur Division Group VFV B
KSK Tongeren vs City Pirates
2:0
Sep 2, 2023 Second Amateur Division Group VFV B
City Pirates vs KSK Tongeren
0:4
Feb 8, 2023 Second Amateur Division Group VFV B
City Pirates vs KSK Tongeren
0:3
Oct 29, 2022 Second Amateur Division Group VFV B
KSK Tongeren vs City Pirates
2:3
Feb 26, 2022 Second Amateur Division Group VFV B
KSK Tongeren vs City Pirates
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KSK Tongeren 48 / 100
City Pirates 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KSK Tongeren City Pirates

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: KSK Tongeren or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18.8%
2.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

KSK Tongeren attacking → ← attacking City Pirates

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KSK Tongeren scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

City Pirates let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

KSK Tongeren went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

City Pirates lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 22
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Belisia Bilzen34218571:3771
2Hasselt34214967:3767
3K. Lyra-Lierse341861061:4760
4Boom341861062:5860
5KRC Mechelen341671161:4655
6Houtvenne341510948:4355
7Bocholter341661259:4654
8KSK Tongeren341461450:4848
9FC Lebbeke341381349:5347
10KV Mechelen 2341371457:4946
11Koninklijk Berchem Sport3412101244:4346
12Diegem341361562:6345
13Wezel Sport341271559:6743
14Hades341261654:6042
15Lille United341171648:6040
16Overijse34772033:5928
17City Pirates34742341:8625
18Londerzeel34672134:5825