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KSK Tongeren vs Kosova Schaerbeek

Belgium Belgium

Belgian Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

KSK Tongeren play Kosova Schaerbeek in the Belgian Cup 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, KSK Tongeren averaged 1.26 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. Kosova Schaerbeek averaged 1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. In past meetings, KSK Tongeren won 0, Kosova Schaerbeek won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 11, 2024 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for KSK Tongeren and 1.94 for Kosova Schaerbeek. This points to a Kosova Schaerbeek double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
KSK Tongeren
30%
Draws
38%
Kosova Schaerbeek
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kosova Schaerbeek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • KSK Tongeren picked up more points recently compared to Kosova Schaerbeek.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Over 3.5 Goals 30%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
KSK Tongeren Clean Sheet 10%
Kosova Schaerbeek Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KSK Tongeren Kosova Schaerbeek
Matches Played 31 10
Wins 7 4
Draws 12 0
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.26 1
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.6

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2024 Belgian Cup
KSK Tongeren vs Kosova Schaerbeek
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KSK Tongeren 31 / 100
Kosova Schaerbeek 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KSK Tongeren Kosova Schaerbeek

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kosova Schaerbeek or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.5%
2.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

KSK Tongeren attacking → ← attacking Kosova Schaerbeek

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KSK Tongeren scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Kosova Schaerbeek let in goals in 70% of their last 10 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

KSK Tongeren went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Kosova Schaerbeek lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 12
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00