Sport Picks

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Kunming City Star vs Guangxi Hengchen

China China

League Two 2025 Yunnan Kehua Football Training Base Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kunming City Star play Guangxi Hengchen in the League Two 2025. Guangxi Hengchen are favorites here. Recently, Kunming City Star averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. Guangxi Hengchen averaged 1.94 goals scored and 0.82 conceded. In past meetings, Kunming City Star won 0, Guangxi Hengchen won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 3, 2025 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Kunming City Star and 1.63 for Guangxi Hengchen. This points to a Guangxi Hengchen double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Kunming City Star
16%
Draws
62%
Guangxi Hengchen
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Guangxi Hengchen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Kunming City Star picked up more points recently compared to Guangxi Hengchen.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Kunming City Star Clean Sheet 14%
Guangxi Hengchen Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kunming City Star Guangxi Hengchen
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 22
Draws 9 5
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 0.8 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2025 League Two
Kunming City Star vs Guangxi Hengchen
0:3
May 25, 2025 League Two
Guangxi Hengchen vs Kunming City Star
7:0
Jul 6, 2024 League Two
Kunming City Star vs Guangxi Hengchen
0:1
Apr 28, 2024 League Two
Guangxi Hengchen vs Kunming City Star
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kunming City Star Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Guangxi Hengchen Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhang Huajun
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wei Chaolun
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kunming City Star 23 / 100
Guangxi Hengchen 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kunming City Star Guangxi Hengchen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guangxi Hengchen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Guangxi Hengchen & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +57.1%
7.14
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kunming City Star attacking → ← attacking Guangxi Hengchen

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kunming City Star scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Guangxi Hengchen let in goals in 48% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Kunming City Star went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Guangxi Hengchen lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 71
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Wuxi Wugou22136331:1445
2Shandong Taishan B22109336:2239
3Nantong Haimen22108438:2438
4Changchun Xidu22108419:1138
5Jiangxi Lushan22105725:2235
6Hangzhou Linping2288624:2632
7Taian Tiankuang22751022:2526
8Shanghai Port B2267925:2625
9Shanxi Chongde Ronghai2258917:3223
10Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic22571021:3222
11Beijing Technology22521521:2917
12Hubei Istar22371223:3916
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Guangxi Hengchen22183147:957
2Shenzhen 202822146230:1348
3Chengdu Rongcheng B22124639:2040
4Guizhou Guiyang22123733:2539
5Guangzhou Dandelion22115631:1838
6Wuhan Three Towns B2285921:2029
7Wenzhou Professional2268821:2726
8Ganzhou Ruishi22411718:2823
9Guangdong Mingtu22481020:3220
10Kunming City Star22471115:3119
11Quanzhou Yassin22361313:3015
12Guangxi Lanhang22061610:456