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KuPS vs PS Kemi

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga 2018 Vare Areena, Kuopio
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Manga T.
41' Event
Niskanen I.
46'
Sub
Rusculleda S. In: Lipin M.
Out: Rusculleda S.

AI Match Summary

The Veikkausliiga 2018 game between KuPS and PS Kemi finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KuPS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
KuPS
15%
Draws
39%
PS Kemi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KuPS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and KuPS come out ahead of PS Kemi on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Veikkausliiga 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
KuPS Clean Sheet 20%
PS Kemi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KuPS PS Kemi
Matches Played 32 26
Wins 14 5
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.5 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2018 Veikkausliiga
KuPS vs PS Kemi
3:1
Jul 29, 2018 Veikkausliiga
PS Kemi vs KuPS
3:2
May 26, 2018 Veikkausliiga
KuPS vs PS Kemi
2:3
Jan 28, 2018 Suomen Cup
PS Kemi vs KuPS
1:3
Oct 28, 2017 Veikkausliiga
PS Kemi vs KuPS
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KuPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Manga T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Niskanen I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

PS Kemi Compare

Top Goalscorer Makela J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KuPS 32 / 100
PS Kemi 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KuPS PS Kemi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PS Kemi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KuPS scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

PS Kemi let in goals in 81% of their last 26 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

KuPS went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KuPS VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

KuPS

(Home)
31 Aug
Inter Turku
1 : 0
KuPS
27 Aug
KuPS
1 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
23 Aug
KuPS
2 : 4
Mariehamn
20 Aug
Shamrock Rovers
1 : 1
KuPS
16 Aug
Lahti
1 : 2
KuPS
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PS Kemi

(Away)
27 Oct
Lahti
1 : 2
PS Kemi
21 Oct
PS Kemi
2 : 0
Mariehamn
06 Oct
PS Kemi
0 : 2
Inter Turku
29 Sept
Ilves
4 : 0
PS Kemi
22 Sept
PS Kemi
0 : 2
VPS
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK 33 24 6 3 61:19 78
2 RoPS Rovaniemi 33 18 8 7 42:25 62
3 KuPS 33 17 7 9 56:37 58
4 Honka 33 15 13 5 51:33 58
5 Ilves 33 14 7 12 45:41 49
6 VPS 33 10 11 12 37:43 41
7 Inter Turku 33 10 10 13 37:44 40
8 Lahti 33 9 13 11 30:38 40
9 SJK 33 8 8 17 28:37 32
10 Mariehamn 33 8 7 18 37:59 31
11 TPS 33 7 8 18 37:55 29
12 PS Kemi 33 6 6 21 29:59 24
Relegation - Ykkonen 2018 (Promotion)
Relegation - Ykkonen 2019 (Main)
Promotion - Champions League 2019/2020 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2019/2020 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2019/2020 (Qualification)