Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KuPS W vs Aland United W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women Vare Areena, Kuopio
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Rochi G.
Assist: Makipelkola E.
43' Event
Vetter J.
Assist: Takanen M.
45'
Juusela N.

AI Match Summary

Aland United W in this Kansallinen Liiga Women matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aland United W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
KuPS W
15%
Draws
35%
Aland United W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KuPS W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Aland United W haven't matched KuPS W's recent run of results.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on KuPS W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and KuPS W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
KuPS W Clean Sheet 10%
Aland United W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KuPS W Aland United W
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 19 18
Draws 4 1
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 2.06 2.42
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Aland United W vs KuPS W
0:2
Jul 18, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
KuPS W vs Aland United W
1:3
Jul 1, 2026 Suomen Cup Women
Aland United W vs KuPS W
1:2
May 17, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Aland United W vs KuPS W
1:6
Sep 27, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
KuPS W vs Aland United W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KuPS W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rochi G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Aland United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Vetter J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KuPS W 74 / 100
Aland United W 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KuPS W Aland United W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KuPS W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KuPS W's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

KuPS W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Aland United W conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

KuPS W VS Aland United W
1.13 Goals Scored 2.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

KuPS W

(Home)
19 Sept
KuPS W
0 : 0
HPS W
13 Sept
Aland United W
0 : 2
KuPS W
29 Aug
KuPS W
2 : 0
Gnistan W
22 Aug
KuPS W
2 : 1
Ilves W
17 Aug
HJK W
0 : 1
KuPS W
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Aland United W

(Away)
19 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 3
Aland United W
13 Sept
Aland United W
0 : 2
KuPS W
29 Aug
HJK W
2 : 1
Aland United W
23 Aug
Gnistan W
2 : 3
Aland United W
16 Aug
Aland United W
2 : 1
HPS W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK W 14 13 0 1 40:9 39
2 Aland United W 14 9 1 4 41:19 28
3 KuPS W 14 9 1 4 31:21 28
4 HPS W 14 7 3 4 19:15 24
5 Ilves W 14 7 1 6 27:26 22
6 Gnistan W 14 4 1 9 21:32 13
7 PK-35 Vantaa W 14 2 1 11 13:36 7
8 VIFK Vaasa W 14 0 2 12 8:42 2
Promotion - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Relegation Group)