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KuPS W vs HJK W

Finland Finland

Suomen Cup Women Vare Areena
Our Tip

Match Events

84' Event
Holmstrom I.

AI Match Summary

HJK W in this Suomen Cup Women matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored HJK W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
KuPS W
28%
Draws
50%
HJK W
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: HJK W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to HJK W lately — more wins on the board than KuPS W.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on HJK W taking it.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
KuPS W Clean Sheet 10%
HJK W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KuPS W HJK W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 23
Draws 3 2
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 2.63 3.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 3.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2026 Suomen Cup Women
KuPS W vs HJK W
0:1
Jul 4, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HJK W vs KuPS W
2:0
May 2, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
KuPS W vs HJK W
2:1
Oct 12, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HJK W vs KuPS W
3:2
Aug 15, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
KuPS W vs HJK W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KuPS W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

HJK W Compare

Top Goalscorer Holmstrom I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.3
Avg xA / game 2.02

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KuPS W 22 / 100
HJK W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KuPS W HJK W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HJK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KuPS W found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

HJK W has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

KuPS W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KuPS W VS HJK W
2.63 Goals Scored 3.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Aland United W4
Tampere Utd W0
Ilves W-
TBD-
Gnistan W1
HIFK W0
KuPS W-
TBD-
VPS W3
FC PaRi Palokka W2
NuPS W0
PK-35 Vantaa W8
HJK U18 W4
Kiffen W0
TBD-
HJK W-
EPS W3
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) W2
Lahti W1
EBK W2
Loviisa W1
Keski-Uusimaa W0
KTP W0
Honka W1
Apassit W1
TPV W2
TBD-
HPS W-
Athene FC W3
Hertta W2
WFA W0
SJK-j Apollo W1
1/8-finals
Aland United W2
Ilves W1
Gnistan W0
KuPS W2
VPS W4
PK-35 Vantaa W6
HJK U18 W1
HJK W6
EPS W1
EBK W4
Loviisa W0
Honka W8
TPV W0
HPS W4
Athene FC W0
SJK-j Apollo W3
Quarter-finals
Aland United W1
KuPS W2
PK-35 Vantaa W1
HJK W4
EBK W4
Honka W1
HPS W5
SJK-j Apollo W1
Semi-finals
KuPS W0
HJK W1
EBK W0
HPS W4
Final
HJK W-
HPS W-