Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KuPS W vs HJK W

Finland Finland

Suomen Cup Women Vare Areena, Kuopio
KuPS W Logo

KuPS W

0 - 1
FT
HJK W Logo

HJK W

Our Tip

Match Events

84' Event
Holmstrom I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
KuPS W
15%
Draws
41%
HJK W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KuPS W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to HJK W lately — more wins on the board than KuPS W.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • HJK W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor HJK W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
KuPS W Clean Sheet 18%
HJK W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KuPS W HJK W
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 19 27
Draws 4 2
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 2.06 2.79
Goals Conceded 1.16 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HJK W vs KuPS W
0:1
Jul 8, 2026 Suomen Cup Women
KuPS W vs HJK W
0:1
Jul 4, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HJK W vs KuPS W
2:0
May 2, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
KuPS W vs HJK W
2:1
Oct 12, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HJK W vs KuPS W
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KuPS W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

HJK W Compare

Top Goalscorer Holmstrom I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KuPS W 32 / 100
HJK W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KuPS W HJK W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KuPS W found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Solid form: KuPS W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

HJK W has conceded goals in 61% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

KuPS W VS HJK W
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

KuPS W

(Home)
19 Sept
KuPS W
0 : 0
HPS W
13 Sept
Aland United W
0 : 2
KuPS W
29 Aug
KuPS W
2 : 0
Gnistan W
22 Aug
KuPS W
2 : 1
Ilves W
17 Aug
HJK W
0 : 1
KuPS W
Page 1 of 7

HJK W

(Away)
23 Sept
HJK W
0 : 2
Brann W
19 Sept
HJK W
6 : 1
Gnistan W
12 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 5
HJK W
06 Sept
HPS W
1 : 3
HJK W
29 Aug
HJK W
2 : 1
Aland United W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Aland United W 4
Tampere Utd W 0
Ilves W -
TBD -
Gnistan W 1
HIFK W 0
KuPS W -
TBD -
VPS W 3
FC PaRi Palokka W 2
NuPS W 0
PK-35 Vantaa W 8
HJK U18 W 4
Kiffen W 0
TBD -
HJK W -
EPS W 3
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) W 2
Lahti W 1
EBK W 2
Loviisa W 1
Keski-Uusimaa W 0
KTP W 0
Honka W 1
Apassit W 1
TPV W 2
TBD -
HPS W -
Athene FC W 3
Hertta W 2
WFA W 0
SJK-j Apollo W 1
1/8-finals
Aland United W 2
Ilves W 1
Gnistan W 0
KuPS W 2
VPS W 4
PK-35 Vantaa W 6
HJK U18 W 1
HJK W 6
EPS W 1
EBK W 4
Loviisa W 0
Honka W 8
TPV W 0
HPS W 4
Athene FC W 0
SJK-j Apollo W 3
Quarter-finals
Aland United W 1
KuPS W 2
PK-35 Vantaa W 1
HJK W 4
EBK W 4
Honka W 1
HPS W 5
SJK-j Apollo W 1
Semi-finals
KuPS W 0
HJK W 1
EBK W 0
HPS W 4
Final
HJK W 3
HPS W 1