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Kuressaare vs Paide Linnameeskond

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Kuressaare Linnastaadion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kuressaare play Paide Linnameeskond in the Meistriliiga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kuressaare averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.79 conceded. Paide Linnameeskond averaged 1.78 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, Kuressaare won 0, Paide Linnameeskond won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 31, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Kuressaare and 1.31 for Paide Linnameeskond. This points to a Paide Linnameeskond double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Kuressaare
25%
Draws
48%
Paide Linnameeskond
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Paide Linnameeskond

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Kuressaare picked up more points recently compared to Paide Linnameeskond.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Kuressaare Clean Sheet 18%
Paide Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kuressaare Paide Linnameeskond
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 9 17
Draws 4 7
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.14 1.78
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Meistriliiga
Paide Linnameeskond vs Kuressaare
1:1
Apr 3, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kuressaare vs Paide Linnameeskond
0:1
Oct 4, 2025 Meistriliiga
Kuressaare vs Paide Linnameeskond
1:1
Aug 16, 2025 Meistriliiga
Paide Linnameeskond vs Kuressaare
5:1
Aug 13, 2025 Estonian Cup
Kuressaare vs Paide Linnameeskond
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kuressaare Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Paide Linnameeskond Compare

Top Goalscorer Cham P. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kuressaare 28 / 100
Paide Linnameeskond 46 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kuressaare Paide Linnameeskond

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Paide Linnameeskond or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +42%
5.26
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kuressaare attacking → ← attacking Paide Linnameeskond

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kuressaare scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Paide Linnameeskond let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Kuressaare went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Paide Linnameeskond lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 58
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Levadia19144149:1646
2Flora18120638:1936
3Kalju19104533:1634
4Paide Linnameeskond1995530:2332
5Tammeka Tartu1782720:2126
6Parnu JK Vaprus1872922:3423
7Nomme Utd18611134:4319
8Harju JK Laagri18611122:3219
9Kuressaare18521117:3017
10Narva18311412:4310