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Kyustendil vs Slivnishki Geroy Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West game between Kyustendil and Slivnishki Geroy finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kyustendil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Kyustendil
30%
Draws
39%
Slivnishki Geroy
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Slivnishki Geroy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kyustendil come out ahead of Slivnishki Geroy on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Kyustendil Clean Sheet 15%
Slivnishki Geroy Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kyustendil Slivnishki Geroy
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.1 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Slivnishki Geroy
2:1
May 23, 2026 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Slivnishki Geroy
0:0
Nov 8, 2025 Third League - South-West
Slivnishki Geroy vs Kyustendil
2:4
May 14, 2025 Third League - South-West
Slivnishki Geroy vs Kyustendil
2:2
Oct 24, 2024 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Slivnishki Geroy
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kyustendil 31 / 100
Slivnishki Geroy 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kyustendil Slivnishki Geroy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kyustendil found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Slivnishki Geroy has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Kyustendil remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kyustendil VS Slivnishki Geroy
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kyustendil

(Home)
26 Sept
Kyustendil
0 : 3
Bansko
19 Sept
Minyor Pernik
2 : 0
Kyustendil
12 Sept
Kyustendil
0 : 1
Pirin Razlog
05 Sept
Natsional Sofia
1 : 1
Kyustendil
29 Aug
Kyustendil
3 : 1
Chavdar Etropole
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Slivnishki Geroy

(Away)
26 Sept
Slivnishki Geroy
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia III
19 Sept
Balkan Botevgrad
2 : 2
Slivnishki Geroy
12 Sept
Slivnishki Geroy
0 : 3
Kostinbrod
05 Sept
Belasitsa Petrich
3 : 2
Slivnishki Geroy
29 Aug
Septemvri Sofia 2
1 : 2
Slivnishki Geroy
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