Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kyzylzhar vs Yelimay Semey

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Karasai Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Sub
Celeadnic D. In: Petrov V.
Out: Celeadnic D.
26'
Adil A.
34'
Tyulyubay A.

AI Match Summary

Yelimay Semey in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Yelimay Semey.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Kyzylzhar
11%
Draws
80%
Yelimay Semey
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Yelimay Semey

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Yelimay Semey lately — more wins on the board than Kyzylzhar.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Yelimay Semey taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Kyzylzhar Clean Sheet 10%
Yelimay Semey Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kyzylzhar Yelimay Semey
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 14
Draws 5 7
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.75 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Premier League
Kyzylzhar vs Yelimay Semey
0:1
Jun 27, 2026 Premier League
Yelimay Semey vs Kyzylzhar
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 Premier League
Yelimay Semey vs Kyzylzhar
2:0
May 25, 2025 Premier League
Kyzylzhar vs Yelimay Semey
1:1
May 14, 2025 Kazakhstan Cup
Kyzylzhar vs Yelimay Semey
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kyzylzhar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Yelimay Semey Compare

Top Goalscorer Murtazaev R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kyzylzhar 10 / 100
Yelimay Semey 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kyzylzhar Yelimay Semey

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Yelimay Semey conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Kyzylzhar found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Yelimay Semey lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kyzylzhar VS Yelimay Semey
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy17124130:1240
2Kairat Almaty18116134:1239
3FC Astana1785425:1929
4Okzhetpes1776422:2427
5Yelimay Semey1675424:1926
6Ulytau1775514:1526
7Aktobe1774622:1825
8Zhenis1756614:1921
9Atyrau1639412:1318
10Zhetysu Taldykorgan1746721:2518
11Tobol1753919:2518
12Kaisar Kyzylorda1839613:2018
13Kaspij Aktau17521015:2217
14Altai1737712:1816
15Kyzylzhar17431017:2515
16Ertis Pavlodar1718814:2211