Sport Picks

Stadium Background

La Fama vs Deportivo Nacional

Aruba Aruba

Division di Honor
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

La Fama in this Division di Honor matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored La Fama.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
La Fama
6%
Draws
90%
Deportivo Nacional
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Deportivo Nacional

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Deportivo Nacional have won more games recently than La Fama.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Deportivo Nacional taking it.
  • Regular Division di Honor form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and La Fama have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
La Fama Clean Sheet 10%
Deportivo Nacional Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Fama Deportivo Nacional
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 17
Draws 5 0
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.5 5.75
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 5.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2025 Division di Honor
La Fama vs Deportivo Nacional
3:2
Apr 12, 2025 Division di Honor
Deportivo Nacional vs La Fama
0:2
Feb 8, 2025 Division di Honor
La Fama vs Deportivo Nacional
3:1
Dec 8, 2024 Division di Honor
Deportivo Nacional vs La Fama
0:2
Feb 7, 2024 Division di Honor
Deportivo Nacional vs La Fama
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Fama 10 / 100
Deportivo Nacional 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Fama Deportivo Nacional

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Fama found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).

Deportivo Nacional's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Solid form: La Fama remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

La Fama VS Deportivo Nacional
1.5 Goals Scored 5.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

La Fama

(Home)
17 Jun
La Fama
2 : 2
Britannia
11 Jun
La Fama
0 : 2
SV Dakota
31 May
Sporting
2 : 2
La Fama
23 May
La Fama
1 : 2
Sporting
16 May
La Fama
2 : 0
Racing Club Aruba
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Deportivo Nacional

(Away)
13 Jun
Deportivo Nacional
2 : 1
Caiquetio
01 Jun
Caravel
1 : 3
Deportivo Nacional
28 May
Atl. Deportivo
0 : 2
Deportivo Nacional
17 May
Deportivo Nacional
4 : 2
FC San Nicolaas
12 May
Deportivo Nacional
10 : 1
Estudiantes
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SV Dakota990045:1127
2Britannia961218:1219
3La Fama960331:1318
4Sporting951336:1316
5Racing Club Aruba950420:1215
6Bubali941427:1913
7Deportivo Nacional940518:1312
8River Plate922517:298
9Estrella911719:374
10Real Koyari90093:750
Promotion - Division di Honor (Winners stage)
Relegation - Division di Honor (Relegation)