Sport Picks

Stadium Background

La Fiorita vs AC Libertas

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Guidotti R.
45' Event
Guidi T.
84' Event
Olcese E.
Assist: Semprini J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campionato Sammarinese matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
La Fiorita
6%
Draws
4%
AC Libertas
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: La Fiorita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • La Fiorita have won more games recently than AC Libertas.
  • Model gives La Fiorita a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campionato Sammarinese form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
La Fiorita Clean Sheet 68%
AC Libertas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Fiorita AC Libertas
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 17 9
Draws 11 8
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.63 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.83

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
La Fiorita vs AC Libertas
2:2
Oct 25, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
AC Libertas vs La Fiorita
1:3
Feb 22, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
La Fiorita vs AC Libertas
6:0
Oct 26, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
AC Libertas vs La Fiorita
1:1
Jan 20, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
AC Libertas vs La Fiorita
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

La Fiorita Compare

Top Goalscorer Guidi T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Olcese E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

AC Libertas Compare

Top Goalscorer Guidotti R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mantovani E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.37

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Fiorita 95 / 100
AC Libertas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Fiorita AC Libertas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FIO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Fiorita found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (35 games).

AC Libertas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Away concern: AC Libertas has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

La Fiorita VS AC Libertas
1.63 Goals Scored 0.67
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.83
75% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

La Fiorita

(Home)
14 Jul
La Fiorita
0 : 2
UNA Strassen
07 Jul
UNA Strassen
1 : 0
La Fiorita
27 Jun
La Fiorita
1 : 1
Vardar
23 May
Tre Fiori
1 : 3
La Fiorita
16 May
Virtus
2 : 1
La Fiorita
Page 1 of 7

AC Libertas

(Away)
29 Apr
Juvenes/Dogana
1 : 1
AC Libertas
26 Apr
AC Libertas
0 : 9
Virtus
19 Apr
AC Libertas
1 : 3
Tre Penne
12 Apr
Tre Fiori
3 : 0
AC Libertas
08 Apr
AC Libertas
1 : 0
Juvenes/Dogana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tre Fiori30227163:1373
2Virtus30226276:2072
3Tre Penne30217271:1870
4La Fiorita301711264:2557
5Folgore30169567:3357
6SP Domagnano30147959:3649
7Fiorentino301441237:4246
8SP Cosmos301191030:2342
9Juvenes/Dogana309101136:3837
10AC Libertas30981332:6335
11SS Pennarossa30881429:5332
12San Giovanni307101324:4331
13SC Faetano30642022:5522
14San Marino Academy U2230372023:6016
15Cailungo30252323:7111
16SS Murata30142520:83-2
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)