Sport Picks
La Gineta vs Madridejos Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 18 2014/2015 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 18 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
20%
64%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Madridejos
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Madridejos have won more games recently than La Gineta.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on La Gineta taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
La Gineta Clean Sheet 20%
Madridejos Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | La Gineta | Madridejos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 6 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 18 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 28, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Madridejos vs La Gineta
4:1
Oct 11, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
La Gineta vs Madridejos
0:1
May 17, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
La Gineta vs Madridejos
0:0
Jan 4, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Madridejos vs La Gineta
1:1
May 11, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Madridejos vs La Gineta
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
La Gineta 36 / 100
Madridejos 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
La Gineta Madridejos
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Madridejos conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.
Attacking prowess: La Gineta scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Madridejos's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Madridejos
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
La Gineta
(Home) 15 May
Almagro
2 : 1 La Gineta
08 May
La Gineta
0 : 1 Villarrubia
01 May
Illescas
2 : 1 La Gineta
24 Apr
La Gineta
0 : 0 Manchego Ciudad Real
17 Apr
Marchamalo
3 : 1 La Gineta
Page 1 of 6
08 May
La Gineta
0 : 1 Villarrubia
24 Apr
La Gineta
0 : 0 Manchego Ciudad Real
10 Apr
La Gineta
2 : 1 Conquense
20 Mar
La Gineta
3 : 2 Villarrobledo
06 Mar
La Gineta
0 : 0 Mora CF
Page 1 of 3
Madridejos
(Away) 03 Jun
Madridejos
4 : 2 Manzanares
30 May
La Solana
3 : 2 Madridejos
23 May
Madridejos
2 : 3 Almagro
15 May
Atletico Ibanes
2 : 0 Madridejos
08 May
Madridejos
1 : 1 UD Almansa
Page 1 of 7
30 May
La Solana
3 : 2 Madridejos
15 May
Atletico Ibanes
2 : 0 Madridejos
02 May
Manzanares
2 : 1 Madridejos
17 Apr
Almagro
2 : 0 Madridejos
04 Apr
UD Almansa
0 : 2 Madridejos
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Talavera | 38 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 85:27 | 84 |
| 2 | UD Almansa | 38 | 24 | 7 | 7 | 62:32 | 79 |
| 3 | Quintanar del Rey | 38 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 48:19 | 75 |
| 4 | Manzanares | 38 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 59:24 | 73 |
| 5 | Madridejos | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 43:21 | 72 |
| 6 | Villarrubia | 38 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 50:35 | 65 |
| 7 | Marchamalo | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 55:51 | 59 |
| 8 | Mora CF | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 51:39 | 57 |
| 9 | Villarrobledo | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 58:49 | 54 |
| 10 | CD Puertollano | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 54:46 | 53 |
| 11 | CD Pedroneras | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 45:37 | 51 |
| 12 | Toledo 2 | 38 | 16 | 2 | 20 | 47:55 | 50 |
| 13 | Atletico Ibanes | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 42:40 | 48 |
| 14 | Albacete B | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 59:56 | 47 |
| 15 | Manchego Ciudad Real | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 47:57 | 46 |
| 16 | Almagro | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 43:44 | 44 |
| 17 | La Gineta | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 39:53 | 43 |
| 18 | Daimiel | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 39:67 | 40 |
| 19 | Alcazar | 38 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 21:117 | 11 |
| 20 | Hellin Deportivo | 38 | 0 | 2 | 36 | 3:81 | 2 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
