Sport Picks

Stadium Background

La Gineta vs San Jose Obrero

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 18 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

San Jose Obrero in this Tercera Division - Group 18 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Jose Obrero.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
La Gineta
11%
Draws
9%
San Jose Obrero
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: La Gineta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: La Gineta at 1.38 per game, San Jose Obrero at 0.5.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on La Gineta taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 18 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
La Gineta Clean Sheet 20%
San Jose Obrero Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Gineta San Jose Obrero
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 6 6
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 1.38 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
La Gineta vs San Jose Obrero
1:2
Sep 19, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
San Jose Obrero vs La Gineta
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Gineta 76 / 100
San Jose Obrero 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Gineta San Jose Obrero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: San Jose Obrero conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

La Gineta scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Away concern: San Jose Obrero has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

La Gineta VS San Jose Obrero
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

La Gineta

(Home)
15 May
Almagro
2 : 1
La Gineta
08 May
La Gineta
0 : 1
Villarrubia
01 May
Illescas
2 : 1
La Gineta
24 Apr
La Gineta
0 : 0
Manchego Ciudad Real
17 Apr
Marchamalo
3 : 1
La Gineta
Page 1 of 6

San Jose Obrero

(Away)
15 May
San Jose Obrero
1 : 3
CD Pedroneras
08 May
Atletico Ibanes
3 : 0
San Jose Obrero
01 May
San Jose Obrero
0 : 1
Manzanares
24 Apr
San Jose Obrero
0 : 3
Azuqueca
17 Apr
Albacete B
1 : 1
San Jose Obrero
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Conquense382441054:2676
2Almagro382210664:3376
3Azuqueca382010858:3170
4UD Almansa381715654:3566
5Quintanar del Rey3817111038:2962
6Madridejos3816121047:4560
7Illescas3816101250:4758
8Villarrobledo381591444:3854
9Marchamalo3814101451:5352
10Manchego Ciudad Real381491541:3651
11Toledo 2381491550:4851
12Villarrubia3812121434:3448
13CD Pedroneras3812121436:4248
14Albacete B3810161247:5146
15Mora CF381371843:4846
16Manzanares3811121539:4345
17Atletico Ibanes389151429:4242
18La Gineta38882241:6132
19San Jose Obrero387102137:7031
20Munera CF38572628:7322
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)