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La Muela vs CD Villanueva

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 17 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 17 2009/2010 game between La Muela and CD Villanueva finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward La Muela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
La Muela
39%
Draws
30%
CD Villanueva
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Villanueva carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
La Muela Clean Sheet 20%
CD Villanueva Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Muela CD Villanueva
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 12 6
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 0.5 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
La Muela vs CD Villanueva
2:1
Dec 27, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CD Villanueva vs La Muela
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Muela 32 / 100
CD Villanueva 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Muela CD Villanueva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Villanueva let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

La Muela found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (32 games).

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: La Muela remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

La Muela VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

La Muela

(Home)
15 May
La Muela
1 : 0
Caudal Deportivo
08 May
Zamora
3 : 1
La Muela
01 May
La Muela
0 : 1
Leonesa
24 Apr
Guijuelo
2 : 2
La Muela
17 Apr
La Muela
1 : 3
Lemona
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CD Villanueva

(Away)
09 May
CD Villanueva
1 : 3
Sabinanigo
01 May
La Muela
2 : 1
CD Villanueva
25 Apr
CD Villanueva
1 : 1
Sarinena
23 Apr
Fraga
1 : 3
CD Villanueva
18 Apr
CD Villanueva
3 : 2
UD Barbastro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Teruel38304488:2994
2La Muela38286473:2490
3Zaragoza B38273896:3384
4SD Ejea382738104:3584
5Atletico Monzon38256777:4281
6Andorra CF38254979:3879
7Sabinanigo381571653:6052
8CD Villanueva381391663:6348
9Utebo FC381391657:6448
10Valdefierro381442046:6346
11Giner Torrero381352044:7844
12Sarinena3811101736:6143
13UD Barbastro381252141:7241
14CD Tauste381162143:6139
15Atletico Calatayud389111846:5638
16CD Mallen381052337:5835
17CD Cuarte38982140:7535
18Alcaniz CF38972255:8634
19Fraga381042447:8734
20CF Jacetano38862434:7430
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)