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La Nucia vs Real Murcia B Prediction & H2H Stats

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Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Ajouaou V.
17' Event
Ajouaou V.
51' Event
Carlos J.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 3 game between La Nucia and Real Murcia B finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward La Nucia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
La Nucia
15%
Draws
17%
Real Murcia B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: La Nucia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and La Nucia come out ahead of Real Murcia B on wins alone.
  • Model gives La Nucia a 68% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
La Nucia Clean Sheet 68%
Real Murcia B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Nucia Real Murcia B
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 18 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.41 1.44
Goals Conceded 0.48 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
La Nucia vs Real Murcia B
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

La Nucia Compare

Top Goalscorer Ajouaou V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Carlos J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Real Murcia B Compare

Top Goalscorer Rubira R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Nucia 95 / 100
Real Murcia B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Nucia Real Murcia B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Nucia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

La Nucia found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Real Murcia B let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Solid form: La Nucia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

La Nucia VS Real Murcia B
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

La Nucia

(Home)
04 Oct
Deportiva Minera
2 : 0
La Nucia
27 Sept
La Nucia
2 : 0
Mallorca B
20 Sept
Yeclano
0 : 1
La Nucia
13 Sept
La Nucia
5 : 1
Real Murcia B
06 Sept
La Nucia
1 : 0
UD Poblense
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Real Murcia B

(Away)
04 Oct
Castellonense
3 : 0
Real Murcia B
27 Sept
Pena Deportiva
0 : 2
Real Murcia B
20 Sept
Real Murcia B
0 : 1
Mallorca B
13 Sept
La Nucia
5 : 1
Real Murcia B
05 Sept
Real Murcia B
1 : 2
Orihuela
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellon B 5 4 0 1 12:5 12
2 La Nucia 5 4 0 1 9:3 12
3 Castellonense 5 4 0 1 8:3 12
4 Alcoyano 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
5 UCAM Murcia 5 3 0 2 12:6 9
6 CF Intercity 5 2 3 0 7:5 9
7 Ciudad Cieza 5 2 2 1 7:3 8
8 Deportiva Minera 5 2 2 1 5:4 8
9 Yeclano 5 2 2 1 4:3 8
10 Orihuela 5 2 1 2 6:11 7
11 Lorca Deportiva 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
12 Mallorca B 5 1 2 2 2:4 5
13 Baleares 5 1 2 2 6:9 5
14 Valencia B 5 1 1 3 5:7 4
15 Ilicitano 5 1 1 3 3:8 4
16 UD Poblense 5 1 0 4 3:7 3
17 Real Murcia B 5 1 0 4 4:11 3
18 Pena Deportiva 5 0 1 4 3:8 1
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)