Sport Picks
La Serena vs U. De Chile
Chile
Liga de Primera Estadio La Portada, La Serena 
Match Events
11'
11'
Delgado R.
29'
29'
Vargas E.
46'
46'
Sub
Reyna G. In: Diaz M.
Out: Reyna G.
AI Match Summary
The Liga de Primera game between La Serena and U. De Chile finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward U. De Chile.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
15%
40%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: La Serena
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and U. De Chile come out ahead of La Serena on wins alone.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on U. De Chile taking it.
- Regular Liga de Primera form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
La Serena Clean Sheet 12%
U. De Chile Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | La Serena | U. De Chile |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 17 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.03 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Liga de Primera
La Serena vs U. De Chile
0:3
May 2, 2026 Copa de la Liga
La Serena vs U. De Chile
0:5
Apr 5, 2026 Liga de Primera
U. De Chile vs La Serena
4:0
Mar 20, 2026 Copa de la Liga
U. De Chile vs La Serena
2:2
Sep 28, 2025 Liga de Primera
La Serena vs U. De Chile
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
La Serena Compare
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
U. De Chile Compare
Top Goalscorer Arce A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hormazabal F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
La Serena 27 / 100
U. De Chile 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
La Serena U. De Chile
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick U. De Chile Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
La Serena found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).
U. De Chile let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
La Serena has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
La Serena VS U. De Chile
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
La Serena
(Home) 13 Sept
La Serena
0 : 3 U. De Chile
06 Sept
La Serena
2 : 1 Nublense
31 Aug
Union La Calera
0 : 1 La Serena
23 Aug
La Serena
3 : 3 Cobresal
14 Aug
U. De Concepcion
0 : 2 La Serena
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
La Serena
0 : 3 U. De Chile
06 Sept
La Serena
2 : 1 Nublense
23 Aug
La Serena
3 : 3 Cobresal
02 Aug
La Serena
1 : 2 O Higgins
05 Jul
La Serena
2 : 4 Antofagasta
Page 1 of 3
U. De Chile
(Away) 13 Sept
La Serena
0 : 3 U. De Chile
06 Sept
U. De Chile
4 : 2 Coquimbo
30 Aug
U. De Concepcion
2 : 1 U. De Chile
23 Aug
U. De Chile
1 : 2 Colo Colo
15 Aug
Limache
1 : 3 U. De Chile
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
La Serena
0 : 3 U. De Chile
30 Aug
U. De Concepcion
2 : 1 U. De Chile
15 Aug
Limache
1 : 3 U. De Chile
05 Aug
San Felipe
0 : 1 U. De Chile
26 Jul
A. Italiano
1 : 2 U. De Chile
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 48:22 | 54 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 50:33 | 42 |
| 3 | U. De Chile | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 35:19 | 42 |
| 4 | Everton | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 37:25 | 36 |
| 5 | Palestino | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 36:33 | 36 |
| 6 | Limache | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 43:35 | 33 |
| 7 | Nublense | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 28:31 | 32 |
| 8 | D. Concepcion | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 25:26 | 31 |
| 9 | La Serena | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 34:38 | 30 |
| 10 | Coquimbo | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 31:31 | 29 |
| 11 | A. Italiano | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 26:31 | 28 |
| 12 | O Higgins | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 28:36 | 27 |
| 13 | Huachipato | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 29:39 | 25 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 34:44 | 24 |
| 15 | U. De Concepcion | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 17:37 | 22 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19:40 | 17 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga de Ascenso 2027 (Main)
