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La Virgen vs CD Mojados

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Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Calleja A.
17' Event
Calleja A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 game between La Virgen and CD Mojados finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward La Virgen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
La Virgen
20%
Draws
40%
CD Mojados
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • La Virgen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans La Virgen's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
La Virgen Clean Sheet 68%
CD Mojados Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Virgen CD Mojados
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 7 10
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.1 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Mojados vs La Virgen
2:1
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Virgen vs CD Mojados
2:0
Feb 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Virgen vs CD Mojados
0:0
Oct 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Mojados vs La Virgen
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

La Virgen Compare

Top Goalscorer Calleja A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

CD Mojados Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Virgen 86 / 100
CD Mojados 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Virgen CD Mojados

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Virgen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Virgen's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: CD Mojados conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: La Virgen stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

La Virgen VS CD Mojados
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

La Virgen

(Home)
12 Sept
La Virgen
4 : 1
Calasanz de Soria
06 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS B
1 : 2
La Virgen
29 Aug
Bembibre
0 : 0
La Virgen
10 May
CD Mojados
2 : 1
La Virgen
01 May
La Virgen
1 : 2
Almazan
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CD Mojados

(Away)
10 May
CD Mojados
2 : 1
La Virgen
02 May
Mansilles
0 : 1
CD Mojados
26 Apr
CD Mojados
0 : 4
Atletico Tordesillas
18 Apr
Numancia B
1 : 1
CD Mojados
11 Apr
CD Mojados
1 : 2
Palencia CA
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Tordesillas 34 24 6 4 62:24 78
2 Guijuelo 34 21 7 6 54:26 70
3 Palencia CA 34 21 5 8 48:24 68
4 Palencia CF 34 20 4 10 59:39 64
5 Santa Marta Tormes 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
6 Mansilles 34 15 12 7 31:27 57
7 Almazan 34 12 12 10 49:38 48
8 Mirandes B 34 13 8 13 43:35 47
9 La Virgen 34 12 8 14 31:37 44
10 Villaralbo 34 11 9 14 29:37 42
11 Leonesa B 34 12 6 16 38:43 42
12 Arandina 34 9 10 15 32:46 37
13 Colegios Diocesanos 34 10 6 18 33:54 36
14 Bembibre 34 8 10 16 38:52 34
15 Unionistas de Salamanca B 34 6 13 15 32:43 31
16 CD Mojados 34 7 10 17 28:55 31
17 Becerril 34 7 8 19 41:60 29
18 Numancia B 34 6 6 22 26:56 24
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)