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La Virgen vs Leonesa B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

82' Event
Martinez M.

AI Match Summary

La Virgen in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored La Virgen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
La Virgen
20%
Draws
51%
Leonesa B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leonesa B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Leonesa B lately — more wins on the board than La Virgen.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on La Virgen taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
La Virgen Clean Sheet 68%
Leonesa B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Virgen Leonesa B
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.97 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Virgen vs Leonesa B
1:0
Sep 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Leonesa B vs La Virgen
0:1
Jan 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Leonesa B vs La Virgen
0:1
Sep 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Virgen vs Leonesa B
0:0
Feb 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Leonesa B vs La Virgen
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

La Virgen Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Leonesa B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Virgen 46 / 100
Leonesa B 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Virgen Leonesa B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Virgen found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Leonesa B let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

La Virgen went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

La Virgen VS Leonesa B
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

La Virgen

(Home)
06 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS B
1 : 2
La Virgen
29 Aug
Bembibre
0 : 0
La Virgen
10 May
CD Mojados
2 : 1
La Virgen
01 May
La Virgen
1 : 2
Almazan
25 Apr
Palencia CF
3 : 2
La Virgen
Page 1 of 6

Leonesa B

(Away)
06 Sept
Leonesa B
2 : 0
Colegios Diocesanos
14 Aug
Gijon B
3 : 0
Leonesa B
12 Aug
Caudal Deportivo
2 : 1
Leonesa B
10 May
Leonesa B
1 : 1
Mansilles
02 May
Atletico Tordesillas
1 : 2
Leonesa B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Tordesillas 34 24 6 4 62:24 78
2 Guijuelo 34 21 7 6 54:26 70
3 Palencia CA 34 21 5 8 48:24 68
4 Palencia CF 34 20 4 10 59:39 64
5 Santa Marta Tormes 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
6 Mansilles 34 15 12 7 31:27 57
7 Almazan 34 12 12 10 49:38 48
8 Mirandes B 34 13 8 13 43:35 47
9 La Virgen 34 12 8 14 31:37 44
10 Villaralbo 34 11 9 14 29:37 42
11 Leonesa B 34 12 6 16 38:43 42
12 Arandina 34 9 10 15 32:46 37
13 Colegios Diocesanos 34 10 6 18 33:54 36
14 Bembibre 34 8 10 16 38:52 34
15 Unionistas de Salamanca B 34 6 13 15 32:43 31
16 CD Mojados 34 7 10 17 28:55 31
17 Becerril 34 7 8 19 41:60 29
18 Numancia B 34 6 6 22 26:56 24
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)