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La Virgen vs Mansilles Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 game between La Virgen and Mansilles finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
La Virgen
20%
Draws
44%
Mansilles
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mansilles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • La Virgen haven't matched Mansilles's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
La Virgen Clean Sheet 68%
Mansilles Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Virgen Mansilles
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 12 13
Draws 7 11
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.03 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Virgen vs Mansilles
0:0
Nov 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Mansilles vs La Virgen
2:1
May 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Virgen vs Mansilles
1:0
Dec 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Mansilles vs La Virgen
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Virgen 42 / 100
Mansilles 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Virgen Mansilles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: La Virgen scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

La Virgen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Mansilles let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

La Virgen VS Mansilles
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

La Virgen

(Home)
04 Oct
Bembibre
2 : 0
La Virgen
26 Sept
La Virgen
0 : 1
Palencia CA
19 Sept
Turegano
0 : 1
La Virgen
12 Sept
La Virgen
4 : 1
Calasanz de Soria
06 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS B
1 : 2
La Virgen
Page 1 of 7

Mansilles

(Away)
27 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 0
Mirandes B
20 Sept
Bembibre
0 : 2
Mansilles
12 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 1
Palencia CA
05 Sept
Turegano
1 : 2
Mansilles
10 May
Leonesa B
1 : 1
Mansilles
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Tordesillas 34 24 6 4 62:24 78
2 Guijuelo 34 21 7 6 54:26 70
3 Palencia CA 34 21 5 8 48:24 68
4 Palencia CF 34 20 4 10 59:39 64
5 Santa Marta Tormes 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
6 Mansilles 34 15 12 7 31:27 57
7 Almazan 34 12 12 10 49:38 48
8 Mirandes B 34 13 8 13 43:35 47
9 La Virgen 34 12 8 14 31:37 44
10 Villaralbo 34 11 9 14 29:37 42
11 Leonesa B 34 12 6 16 38:43 42
12 Arandina 34 9 10 15 32:46 37
13 Colegios Diocesanos 34 10 6 18 33:54 36
14 Bembibre 34 8 10 16 38:52 34
15 Unionistas de Salamanca B 34 6 13 15 32:43 31
16 CD Mojados 34 7 10 17 28:55 31
17 Becerril 34 7 8 19 41:60 29
18 Numancia B 34 6 6 22 26:56 24
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)